Tue, Jan 9, 2024·Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Ottawa Senators 3, Calgary Flames 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Calgary Flames win this game 53% of the time.
43%
9%
40%
CGY winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:44 | 0.16 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 22:23 | 0.09 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 21:24 | 0.05 | 58.6% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:25 | 0.03 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:48 | 0.00 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.02 | 57.4% | +21.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.25 | 49.9% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:02 | 0.24 | 60.8% | +21.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 16:49 | 0.53 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:36 | 0.05 | 33.7% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:12 | 0.49 | 72.6% | +33.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.00 | 68.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 15:49 | 0.49 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.06 | 66.8% | +14.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:56 | 0.62 | 64.1% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 11:41 | 0.26 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:41 | 0.03 | 83.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:01 | 0.01 | 89.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 35 | 30 | 5 | .857 | 2.74 | −2.3 | 59:44 |
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 3 | 24:47 | 0.28 | 49.4% | +65.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 23:24 | 0.03 | 34.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 2 | 22:08 | 0.01 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:52 | 0.02 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19:10 | 0.72 | 40.9% | +0.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:32 | 0.17 | 30.2% | +19.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.15 | 67.7% | +41.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.00 | 66.7% | +38.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 16:55 | 0.52 | 39.9% | +27.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 16:38 | 1.01 | 51.4% | +30.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:27 | 0.06 | 27.9% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:12 | 0.06 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.09 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:58 | 0.10 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 11:13 | 0.10 | 31.2% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.04 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 9:23 | 0.02 | 17.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:21 | 0.11 | 14.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.37 | +0.4 | 60:00 |