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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 14, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Away

Detroit Red Wings

4

Final

Home

Toronto Maple Leafs

2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:43Shot by Compher, saved by Samsonov
  3. P1 3:52Raymond: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Marner, Liljegren · DET Perron, Holl, Maatta, Larkin, Raymond

  4. P1 4:02Shot by Matthews, saved by Reimer5v4
  5. P1 4:36Shot by Tavares, saved by Reimer5v4
  6. P1 4:45Shot by Larkin, saved by Samsonov5v4
  7. P1 4:46Shot by Larkin, saved by Samsonov5v4
  8. P1 5:46Shot by Bertuzzi, saved by Reimer5v4
  9. P1 8:14Petry: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Nylander, Matthews, Timmins, Holmberg, Benoit · DET Petry, Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, Raymond

  10. P1 8:15Shot by Matthews, saved by Reimer5v4
  11. P1 11:35Bertuzzi: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Gregor, Kampf, Benoit, Knies · DET Perron, Gostisbehere, Copp, Larkin, Fabbri, Rasmussen

  12. P1 13:15Shot by Sprong, saved by Samsonov4v5
  13. P1 13:46Shot by Sprong, saved by Samsonov
  14. P1 14:25Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Samsonov
  15. P1 14:51Sprong: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Nylander, Matthews, Liljegren, Holmberg · DET Petry, Chiarot, Compher, Sprong, DeBrincat

  16. P1 14:56Shot by Copp, saved by Samsonov5v4
  17. P1 15:52Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Samsonov5v4
  18. P1 16:20Shot by Jarnkrok, saved by Reimer5v4
  19. P1 17:06Shot by Holl, saved by Samsonov
  20. P1 18:11Shot by Matthews, saved by Reimer
  21. P1 18:28Shot by Petry, saved by Samsonov
  22. P1 19:42Shot by Liljegren, saved by Reimer
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:32Goal by Holmberg (Rielly)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Holmberg · DET Petry, Perron, Chiarot, Larkin, Raymond

  26. P2 1:18Shot by Seider, saved by Samsonov
  27. P2 1:27Shot by Domi, saved by Reimer
  28. P2 2:37Shot by Raymond, saved by Samsonov
  29. P2 3:36Shot by Kampf, saved by Reimer
  30. P2 4:26Shot by Nylander, saved by Reimer
  31. P2 4:35Shot by Timmins, saved by Reimer
  32. P2 5:13Shot by Marner, saved by Reimer
  33. P2 5:58Shot by Marner, saved by Reimer
  34. P2 7:44Shot by Larkin, saved by Samsonov
  35. P2 9:24Shot by Marner, saved by Reimer
  36. P2 10:38Shot by Kampf, saved by Reimer
  37. P2 10:59Rielly: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Nylander, Matthews, Holmberg · DET Petry, Chiarot, Fabbri, DeBrincat, Veleno

  38. P2 11:30Shot by Nylander, saved by Reimer4v5
  39. P2 12:30Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Samsonov4v5
  40. P2 13:25Shot by Compher, saved by Samsonov
  41. P2 13:54Shot by Nylander, saved by Reimer
  42. P2 15:39Goal by Larkin (Perron)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Jarnkrok, McCabe, Liljegren, Robertson · DET Perron, Holl, Maatta, Larkin, Raymond

  43. P2 15:59Shot by Timmins, saved by Reimer
  44. P2 17:59Shot by Matthews, saved by Reimer
  45. P2 18:18Goal by Marner (Bertuzzi, McCabe)+24 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Bertuzzi, Domi, Marner, Timmins · DET Petry, Chiarot, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond

  46. P2 18:33Shot by Larkin, saved by Samsonov
  47. P2 0:00Period end
  48. P3 0:00Period start
  49. P3 0:25Shot by Perron, saved by Samsonov
  50. P3 1:35Shot by Benoit, saved by Reimer
  51. P3 2:46Goal by Sprong (DeBrincat)+26 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Brodie, Rielly, Gregor, Kampf, Knies · DET Holl, Maatta, Compher, Sprong, DeBrincat

  52. P3 4:53Shot by Robertson, saved by Reimer
  53. P3 5:32Shot by Chiarot, saved by Samsonov
  54. P3 7:02Shot by Sprong, saved by Samsonov
  55. P3 10:43Shot by Gregor, saved by Reimer
  56. P3 10:48Shot by Nylander, saved by Reimer
  57. P3 14:02Shot by Rielly, saved by Reimer
  58. P3 16:24Shot by Holmberg, saved by Reimer
  59. P3 16:28Shot by Rielly, saved by Reimer
  60. P3 17:38Shot by Compher, saved by Samsonov
  61. P3 18:20Goal by Copp (Rasmussen)+47 pts WP

    On ice: TOR McCabe, Gregor, Liljegren, Kampf, Knies · DET Petry, Chiarot, Copp, Fischer, Rasmussen

  62. P3 19:31Shot by Nylander, saved by Reimer6v5
  63. P3 19:41Goal by Raymond (Chiarot, Larkin)6v5+2 pts WP

    On ice: TOR Tavares, Rielly, Bertuzzi, Nylander, Marner, Matthews · DET Chiarot, Compher, Larkin, Seider, Raymond

  64. P3 19:56Shot by Holmberg, saved by Reimer
  65. P3 0:00Period end
  66. P3 0:00Final