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Ice Lab

Sun, Jan 14, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Detroit Red Wings 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.

TOR winsDET wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DET's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Perron–Larkin–RaymondCopp–Fischer–RasmussenFabbri–Sprong–VelenoCompher–DeBrincat–VelenoCompher–Sprong–DeBrincatDeBrincat–Rasmussen–VelenoCopp–Compher–DeBrincatLarkin–Sprong–RaymondFabbri–DeBrincat–VelenoCopp–Compher–SprongCopp–Fabbri–RasmussenPetry–ChiarotGostisbehere–SeiderHoll–MaattaMaatta–Seider
Nylander–Matthews–Holmberg3:070.17–0.032:000.06–0.000:310.00–0.000:360.06–0.000:410.00–0.009:420.31–0.190:420.01–0.00
Tavares–Jarnkrok–Robertson1:470.18–0.143:030.07–0.021:080.00–0.070:540.11–0.000:390.02–0.023:210.30–0.025:480.09–0.19
Bertuzzi–Domi–Marner1:360.00–0.011:180.10–0.000:400.00–0.000:550.18–0.010:530.08–0.000:480.00–0.110:590.00–0.011:450.11–0.116:120.15–0.121:000.00–0.00
Gregor–Kampf–Knies1:590.00–0.041:220.00–0.000:360.00–0.040:500.09–0.001:140.00–0.143:140.13–0.041:120.00–0.09
Brodie–Rielly4:280.32–0.060:420.00–0.000:470.00–0.000:350.04–0.040:400.00–0.000:450.08–0.000:470.00–0.230:510.00–0.015:460.26–0.285:550.27–0.092:030.01–0.09
McCabe–Liljegren3:020.03–0.171:100.08–0.141:210.01–0.001:260.20–0.010:540.00–0.000:370.08–0.006:260.15–0.183:350.27–0.022:100.04–0.11
Timmins–Benoit5:010.19–0.000:400.00–0.000:490.09–0.001:280.01–0.002:590.16–0.074:010.08–0.00
McCabe–Benoit0:400.00–0.00
Brodie–Liljegren
Brodie–McCabe0:400.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHolmberg FMatthews FNylander FMarner FBertuzzi FDomi FRobertson FJarnkrok FTavares FKnies FGregor FKampf FMcCabe DLiljegren DRielly DBrodie DBenoit DTimmins DSamsonov GRaymond FPerron FLarkin FCompher FKane FDeBrincat FRasmussen FFischer FCopp FFabbri FSprong FVeleno FChiarot DPetry DSeider DGostisbehere DHoll DMaatta DReimer G
TORDETFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR2923:230:481:30101
Moritz SeiderDET2822:500:491:1916
Ben ChiarotDET2422:440:572:0705
TJ BrodieTOR2721:490:481:2163
Dylan LarkinDET2921:380:451:2635
Auston MatthewsTOR2121:021:001:5453
Jeff PetryDET2520:510:502:0705
J.T. CompherDET2720:390:461:2685
Jake McCabeTOR2820:310:441:5013
William NylanderTOR2120:290:592:0654
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2820:260:441:3841
Shayne GostisbehereDET2220:090:552:2731
Calle JarnkrokTOR2118:190:521:3224
Lucas RaymondDET2417:540:451:2154
Mitch MarnerTOR1917:420:561:3452
John TavaresTOR1817:410:591:3640
Alex DeBrincatDET2217:160:471:2635
Andrew CoppDET2416:590:421:1324
Michael RasmussenDET2216:090:441:1911
David PerronDET2216:080:441:2343
Simon BenoitTOR2415:300:391:2823
Olli MaattaDET2215:260:421:5911
Max DomiTOR1814:450:491:2233
Tyler BertuzziTOR1914:400:461:2153
Daniel SprongDET1914:200:451:2522
Justin HollDET2113:500:401:5621
Joseph VelenoDET1813:340:451:2215
Conor TimminsTOR2213:310:371:2813
Pontus HolmbergTOR1912:570:411:2243
Robby FabbriDET1712:190:431:2722
Nick RobertsonTOR1512:140:491:5020
David KampfTOR1611:300:431:1813
Noah GregorTOR1510:520:431:2403
Christian FischerDET1710:350:371:0310
Matthew KniesTOR149:260:401:1002
Patrick KaneDET21:070:340:3410