Sun, Jan 14, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Detroit Red Wings 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 52% of the time.
41%
11%
9%
40%
TOR winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Moritz SeiderD · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 22:50 | 0.01 | 25.8% | 0.0 |
 Ben ChiarotD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:44 | 0.02 | 42.9% | +2.2 |
 Dylan LarkinC · #71 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21:38 | 0.38 | 31.2% | +25.1 |
 Jeff PetryD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:51 | 0.05 | 43.7% | 0.0 |
 J.T. CompherLW · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 20:39 | 0.25 | 45.9% | 0.0 |
 Shayne GostisbehereD · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:09 | 0.11 | 25.6% | 0.0 |
 Lucas RaymondLW · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:54 | 0.66 | 21.7% | +2.2 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #93 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:16 | 0.14 | 46.3% | +25.7 |
 Andrew CoppC · #18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:59 | 0.12 | 25.5% | +47.3 |
 Michael RasmussenC · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:09 | 0.19 | 29.2% | +47.3 |
 David PerronLW · #57 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.03 | 48.3% | +22.9 |
 Olli MaattaD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:26 | 0.02 | 60.7% | 0.0 |
 Daniel SprongRW · #17 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 14:20 | 0.33 | 45.0% | +25.7 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 13:50 | 0.04 | 72.6% | 0.0 |
 Joseph VelenoC · #90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.25 | 51.8% | 0.0 |
 Robby FabbriC · #14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:19 | 0.04 | 72.7% | 0.0 |
 Christian FischerRW · #36 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:35 | 0.00 | 31.1% | 0.0 |
 Patrick KaneRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:07 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 James Reimer#47 | W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.67 | +0.7 | 59:32 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 23:23 | 0.04 | 49.5% | +19.1 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:49 | 0.00 | 48.2% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:02 | 0.39 | 61.1% | 0.0 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 20:31 | 0.00 | 64.2% | +23.9 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:29 | 0.40 | 72.8% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:26 | 0.02 | 59.7% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.20 | 54.6% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:42 | 0.26 | 63.5% | +23.9 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:41 | 0.20 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:30 | 0.03 | 65.3% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:45 | 0.15 | 67.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.22 | 52.8% | +23.9 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.14 | 80.5% | 0.0 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:57 | 0.14 | 69.4% | +19.1 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:14 | 0.22 | 73.9% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:30 | 0.22 | 48.0% | 0.0 |
 Noah GregorLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.04 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:26 | 0.00 | 29.9% | 0.0 |
 Ilya Samsonov#35 | L | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.00 | −1.0 | 59:13 |