Sat, Jan 27, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
New Jersey Devils 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 93% of the time.
90%
TBL winsNJD wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NJD's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Dowling–Toffoli–Mercer | Tierney–Willman–Holtz | Palat–Bratt–Hischier | Lazar–Meier–Bastian | Meier–Bratt–Hischier | Palat–Lazar–Bastian | Dowling–Toffoli–Holtz | Tierney–Willman–Bastian | Marino–Hughes | Bahl–Nemec | Miller–Hatakka | Hughes–Nemec | Miller–Hughes | Hatakka–Nemec | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul–Cirelli–Hagel | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.04 | 4:400.49–0.30 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 3:280.13–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 3:200.36–0.04 | 4:030.26–0.02 | 3:390.12–0.21 | 0:400.00–0.03 | ||||
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | 7:130.71–0.13 | 0:540.30–0.00 | 0:400.03–0.00 | 0:310.01–0.00 | 5:240.37–0.13 | 4:170.76–0.00 | 1:120.16–0.15 | 0:480.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Motte–Sheary–Eyssimont | 0:360.09–0.00 | 0:530.03–0.00 | 1:590.08–0.00 | 2:240.01–0.00 | 0:440.14–0.00 | 3:380.33–0.00 | 1:350.00–0.00 | 1:380.01–0.00 | ||||||
| Glendening–Chaffee–Merela | 1:010.00–0.02 | 4:080.00–0.00 | 1:090.05–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 1:480.05–0.00 | 2:120.00–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 1:030.00–0.00 | ||||||
| de Haan–Perbix | 1:390.41–0.03 | 2:130.00–0.02 | 1:140.12–0.00 | 2:170.00–0.00 | 1:420.00–0.17 | 3:130.00–0.00 | 3:240.00–0.01 | 4:110.54–0.00 | 5:180.15–0.17 | 1:150.02–0.15 | ||||
| Crozier–Lilleberg | 3:410.21–0.01 | 4:340.09–0.02 | 2:300.42–0.00 | 6:030.63–0.03 | 3:310.20–0.00 | 1:480.00–0.15 | 0:420.03–0.00 | 0:580.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 3:380.09–0.15 | 4:080.40–0.27 | 2:490.16–0.00 | 0:310.01–0.00 | 4:400.45–0.15 | 4:290.25–0.02 | 2:220.14–0.21 | 0:510.01–0.11 | 0:410.00–0.03 | |||||
| Raddysh–Lilleberg | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| de Haan–Crozier | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Hedman–Crozier | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLNJDFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 28 | 23:14 | 0:50 | 2:09 | 8 | 5 |
 Luke HughesNJD | 26 | 22:32 | 0:52 | 2:03 | 2 | 4 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 21:59 | 1:00 | 2:01 | 7 | 1 |
 Simon NemecNJD | 26 | 21:39 | 0:50 | 1:59 | 2 | 4 |
 John MarinoNJD | 27 | 20:31 | 0:46 | 1:45 | 0 | 7 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 23 | 20:23 | 0:53 | 1:54 | 8 | 1 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 23 | 20:02 | 0:52 | 2:39 | 7 | 0 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 22 | 19:50 | 0:54 | 2:33 | 7 | 3 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 29 | 19:33 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 27 | 19:05 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 7 | 2 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 26 | 18:51 | 0:44 | 1:33 | 6 | 4 |
 Colin MillerNJD | 27 | 18:47 | 0:42 | 1:21 | 4 | 5 |
 Calvin de HaanTBL | 28 | 18:24 | 0:39 | 1:07 | 2 | 2 |
 Kevin BahlNJD | 23 | 18:14 | 0:48 | 2:00 | 2 | 5 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 26 | 17:56 | 0:41 | 1:42 | 6 | 4 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 26 | 17:26 | 0:40 | 1:14 | 2 | 4 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 24 | 16:56 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 1 | 3 |
 Santeri HatakkaNJD | 24 | 16:44 | 0:42 | 1:30 | 3 | 6 |
 Nico HischierNJD | 24 | 16:26 | 0:41 | 1:25 | 4 | 6 |
 Dawson MercerNJD | 22 | 16:26 | 0:45 | 1:40 | 0 | 2 |
 Jesper BrattNJD | 24 | 16:14 | 0:41 | 1:26 | 4 | 7 |
 Tyler ToffoliNJD | 24 | 15:46 | 0:39 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Nathan BastianNJD | 22 | 15:34 | 0:42 | 1:47 | 3 | 3 |
 Timo MeierNJD | 21 | 14:28 | 0:41 | 1:44 | 3 | 2 |
 Justin DowlingNJD | 22 | 14:24 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 1 | 4 |
 Chris TierneyNJD | 18 | 14:21 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 2 | 2 |
 Alexander HoltzNJD | 20 | 14:09 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 2 | 2 |
 Ondrej PalatNJD | 22 | 14:09 | 0:39 | 1:14 | 5 | 4 |
 Curtis LazarNJD | 23 | 14:02 | 0:37 | 2:04 | 4 | 3 |
 Tyler MotteTBL | 19 | 12:13 | 0:39 | 1:09 | 0 | 4 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 16 | 11:37 | 0:44 | 1:12 | 1 | 3 |
 Max WillmanNJD | 15 | 11:17 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 2 | 2 |
 Conor ShearyTBL | 17 | 10:53 | 0:38 | 0:59 | 1 | 1 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 17 | 10:11 | 0:36 | 0:54 | 3 | 4 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 14 | 9:50 | 0:42 | 0:54 | 2 | 1 |
 Waltteri MerelaTBL | 13 | 9:37 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 3 | 1 |