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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 8, 2024·UBS Arena, Elmont

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, New York Islanders 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, New York Islanders win this game 58% of the time.

NYI winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Kucherov–PointCirelli–Hagel–EyssimontPaul–Sheary–ChaffeeWatson–Glendening–MottePaul–Cirelli–HagelMotte–Sheary–EyssimontWatson–Glendening–ChaffeeKucherov–Point–HagelHedman–RaddyshCernak–Lillebergde Haan–Perbixde Haan–CernakRaddysh–LillebergPerbix–LillebergHedman–PerbixHedman–Cernak
Lee–Horvat–Barzal2:510.05–0.141:010.09–0.082:170.05–0.030:500.00–0.020:500.00–0.080:360.00–0.000:490.00–0.002:550.10–0.143:010.00–0.051:180.00–0.081:560.00–0.080:360.05–0.000:400.00–0.00
Palmieri–Nelson–Engvall1:120.00–0.002:440.00–0.121:380.00–0.002:050.00–0.041:210.00–0.002:250.27–0.000:530.00–0.082:050.14–0.00
Clutterbuck–Martin–Cizikas3:290.29–0.100:460.00–0.081:110.00–0.000:590.00–0.001:050.00–0.002:030.18–0.192:560.00–0.000:330.00–0.001:450.11–0.000:320.00–0.00
Pageau–Wahlstrom–Holmstrom2:060.01–0.081:330.00–0.061:080.00–0.002:320.01–0.200:430.00–0.012:290.00–0.130:410.04–0.00
Palmieri–Cizikas–Engvall0:340.01–0.00
Martin–Cizikas–Wahlstrom0:400.00–0.01
Reilly–Mayfield1:540.00–0.080:520.09–0.002:430.00–0.042:110.00–0.001:380.00–0.000:550.00–0.003:030.09–0.204:020.00–0.032:360.25–0.000:560.00–0.002:080.00–0.020:540.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Dobson–Romanov0:570.00–0.103:480.00–0.181:290.00–0.001:040.00–0.021:430.00–0.082:270.04–0.151:510.00–0.024:250.00–0.201:180.04–0.081:180.14–0.00
Pelech–Pulock6:340.24–0.141:080.10–0.000:470.00–0.005:090.39–0.141:520.00–0.070:380.00–0.001:090.10–0.000:430.00–0.00
Mayfield–Pelech1:450.11–0.000:390.00–0.080:440.00–0.000:480.09–0.080:480.11–0.00
Reilly–Pulock0:520.00–0.000:300.00–0.001:160.00–0.00
Pelech–Dobson0:520.03–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndEngvall FPalmieri FNelson FBarzal FHorvat FLee FPageau FMartin FCizikas FClutterbuck FHolmstrom FWahlstrom FDobson DRomanov DReilly DPulock DPelech DMayfield DSorokin GPaul FHagel FCirelli FGlendening FMotte FPoint FKucherov FStamkos FEyssimont FSheary FChaffee FWatson Fde Haan DPerbix DHedman DCernak DRaddysh DLilleberg DJohansson G
NYITBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2423:390:593:1043
Erik CernakTBL2522:420:541:4905
Noah DobsonNYI2522:080:531:4651
Mike ReillyNYI2521:550:531:5511
Scott MayfieldNYI2421:300:543:0101
Nikita KucherovTBL2020:061:002:3940
Mathew BarzalNYI2019:350:591:4950
Brayden PointTBL2019:000:572:0050
Emil LillebergTBL2318:530:491:1702
Darren RaddyshTBL1818:231:011:4030
Ryan PulockNYI2618:190:421:4124
Anthony CirelliTBL2218:090:501:2532
Kyle PalmieriNYI1817:591:001:5312
Calvin de HaanTBL2417:360:441:1815
Bo HorvatNYI2017:350:531:2450
Adam PelechNYI2317:300:461:2404
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI2517:270:421:2925
Steven StamkosTBL2017:180:521:5351
Pierre EngvallNYI2016:360:501:4502
Brandon HagelTBL2216:080:441:2311
Nick PerbixTBL2415:530:401:1915
Nick PaulTBL2015:520:481:1724
Anders LeeNYI2015:200:461:2421
Brock NelsonNYI1615:190:571:5221
Casey CizikasNYI2014:370:441:3901
Tyler MotteTBL2113:400:391:4904
Alexander RomanovNYI1813:340:451:4321
Luke GlendeningTBL2013:250:401:1906
Matt MartinNYI1812:540:431:2500
Cal ClutterbuckNYI1812:190:411:2500
Michael EyssimontTBL1512:120:491:2711
Simon HolmstromNYI1811:420:391:2024
Conor ShearyTBL1411:400:501:2002
Oliver WahlstromNYI1410:220:441:2721
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL139:390:451:1601
Austin WatsonTBL138:290:391:1301