Sat, Feb 10, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
St. Louis Blues 3, Buffalo Sabres 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.
49%
10%
8%
33%
BUF winsSTL wins
St. Louis Blues
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 26:20 | 0.02 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 24:53 | 0.01 | 44.1% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:25 | 0.00 | 58.1% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:13 | 0.09 | 69.1% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 20:56 | 0.12 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:30 | 0.08 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 17:18 | 0.42 | 68.7% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.02 | 52.0% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:25 | 0.07 | 50.8% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.03 | 43.7% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:13 | 0.08 | 20.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:57 | 0.30 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.14 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:55 | 0.06 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:50 | 0.09 | 24.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 11:38 | 1.24 | 53.9% | +22.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:24 | 0.22 | 18.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 34 | 1 | 1.000 | 3.46 | +2.5 | 60:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28:59 | 0.09 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 24:02 | 0.05 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:10 | 0.16 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20:09 | 0.48 | 81.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 19:00 | 0.19 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.10 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 18:54 | 0.49 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:10 | 0.10 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:38 | 0.25 | 48.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.02 | 90.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:25 | 0.00 | 74.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:50 | 1.24 | 95.7% | +18.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11:37 | 0.12 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:11 | 0.12 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:20 | 0.05 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:54 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 3.00 | 0.0 | 58:18 |