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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 10, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

St. Louis Blues 3, Buffalo Sabres 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 59% of the time.

BUF winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Buchnevich–Kyrou–ThomasHayes–Saad–BlaisSchenn–Kapanen–NeighboursSundqvist–Walker–ToropchenkoSaad–Blais–ThomasLeddy–ParaykoKrug–KesselScandella–RosenRosen–KesselLeddy–RosenKrug–RosenScandella–Kessel
Tuch–Greenway–Mittelstadt4:460.02–0.161:000.02–0.001:510.16–0.000:470.07–0.064:270.16–0.003:070.11–0.061:250.00–0.18
Cozens–Peterka–Benson2:010.08–0.001:230.00–0.061:270.00–0.001:510.08–0.224:170.13–0.191:250.06–0.061:590.08–0.030:470.00–0.00
Okposo–Skinner–Thompson2:430.10–0.002:321.35–0.002:580.43–0.063:181.13–0.001:120.00–0.00
Girgensons–Robinson–Krebs0:520.00–0.062:420.09–0.060:340.00–0.000:540.13–0.000:500.00–0.001:590.03–0.001:250.07–0.061:140.13–0.00
Mittelstadt–Cozens–Peterka0:370.14–0.070:510.03–0.200:370.14–0.07
Skinner–Tuch–Thompson0:310.00–0.080:420.00–0.00
Girgensons–Robinson–Cozens1:010.00–0.26
Jokiharju–Dahlin6:480.10–0.202:490.32–0.191:550.10–0.001:140.06–0.087:030.30–0.084:410.29–0.332:110.07–0.070:350.00–0.00
Clifton–Power1:270.08–0.221:260.02–0.062:320.00–0.003:571.36–0.094:170.29–0.094:051.09–0.131:220.00–0.06
Johnson–Johnson0:450.00–0.092:170.04–0.062:060.00–0.011:530.08–0.191:390.00–0.192:390.04–0.012:550.08–0.14
Clifton–Dahlin0:300.00–0.060:500.05–0.000:420.05–0.001:270.00–0.00
Dahlin–Power1:020.04–0.00
Jokiharju–Power1:100.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Johnson–Power1:050.13–0.001:160.13–0.00
Jokiharju–Johnson
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndOkposo FSkinner FThompson FBenson FCozens FPeterka FMittelstadt FGreenway FTuch FRobinson FGirgensons FKrebs FPower DClifton DJokiharju DDahlin DJohnson DJohnson DLuukkonen GToropchenko FWalker FSundqvist FBuchnevich FKyrou FThomas FSchenn FKapanen FNeighbours FHayes FSaad FBlais FKrug DKessel DLeddy DParayko DScandella DRosen DHofer G
BUFSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2728:591:042:2285
Nick LeddySTL2726:200:592:3607
Colton ParaykoSTL2724:530:552:3516
Owen PowerBUF2624:020:551:3554
Robert ThomasSTL2122:251:042:0344
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2221:130:581:2954
Torey KrugSTL2520:560:501:2436
Dylan CozensBUF2120:100:581:4525
Tage ThompsonBUF2120:090:581:4271
Casey MittelstadtBUF2019:000:571:3474
Henri JokiharjuBUF2319:000:501:4335
Alex TuchBUF2218:540:521:31103
Jordan GreenwayBUF2018:100:551:3073
JJ PeterkaBUF2117:380:501:1723
Matthew KesselSTL2117:300:501:4325
Jordan KyrouSTL2017:200:521:3542
Jeff SkinnerBUF1816:270:551:4460
Connor CliftonBUF2016:250:492:1933
Calle RosenSTL2015:030:451:5610
Kasperi KapanenSTL1814:250:481:2024
Brayden SchennSTL2014:220:431:1437
Oskar SundqvistSTL1714:130:501:2901
Kyle OkposoBUF1613:500:521:2450
Brandon SaadSTL1412:570:561:3712
Erik JohnsonBUF1512:550:521:2931
Kevin HayesSTL1512:540:521:1914
Marco ScandellaSTL1811:550:401:1011
Nathan WalkerSTL1511:500:471:2001
Jake NeighboursSTL1511:380:471:0643
Zach BensonBUF1711:370:411:0414
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1411:240:491:1600
Ryan JohnsonBUF1510:550:441:1831
Sammy BlaisSTL1210:440:541:2812
Peyton KrebsBUF1310:110:471:3150
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF139:200:431:4940
Eric RobinsonBUF108:540:532:0340