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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 15, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Colorado Avalanche 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Away

Colorado Avalanche

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 89% of the time.

TBL winsCOL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:38Shot by Girard, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 1:06Shot by Cernak, saved by Annunen
  4. P1 1:18Shot by Hagel, saved by Annunen
  5. P1 1:21Shot by Hagel, saved by Annunen
  6. P1 3:13Shot by Cogliano, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 5:47Manson: Slashing (2 min)6v5

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel · COL Cogliano, Johansen, MacDermid, Toews, Makar

  8. P1 6:57Shot by Wood, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  9. P1 7:16Shot by Stamkos, saved by Annunen5v4
  10. P1 7:45Shot by Hagel, saved by Annunen5v4
  11. P1 7:54Shot by Cirelli, saved by Annunen
  12. P1 8:02Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 8:19Shot by Hagel, saved by Annunen
  14. P1 8:34Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  15. P1 11:05Fleury: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Glendening, Fleury, Cernak, Barré-Boulet, Chaffee · COL Cogliano, MacDermid, MacKinnon, Toews, Makar

  16. P1 14:40Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Annunen
  17. P1 15:08Goal by Byram (Rantanen, MacKinnon)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Paul, Fleury, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · COL Manson, MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Byram

  18. P1 15:23Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Annunen
  19. P1 15:31Shot by Motte, saved by Annunen
  20. P1 15:54Shot by Parise, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 16:01Shot by Toews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  22. P1 16:43Shot by Toews, saved by Vasilevskiy
  23. P1 16:59Shot by Girard, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P1 17:18Goal by Point, unassisted+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh · COL Manson, Wood, Lehkonen, Girard, Colton

  25. P1 17:36Shot by Hedman, saved by Annunen
  26. P1 17:47Shot by Makar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P1 18:19Shot by Hagel, saved by Annunen
  28. P1 18:25Goal by Kucherov (Hagel)+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  29. P1 19:10Shot by Point, saved by Annunen
  30. P1 0:00Period end
  31. P2 0:00Period start
  32. P2 1:01Rantanen: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Paul, Fleury, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · COL Parise, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  33. P2 1:20Shot by Hedman, saved by Annunen5v4
  34. P2 2:08Shot by Hedman, saved by Annunen5v4
  35. P2 2:41Shot by Kucherov, saved by Annunen5v4
  36. P2 3:46Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  37. P2 4:07Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Annunen
  38. P2 4:43Shot by Johansen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P2 6:45Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 7:21Shot by Drouin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P2 9:00Shot by Johansen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  42. P2 9:15Shot by Point, saved by Annunen
  43. P2 10:19Shot by Colton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 10:38Shot by Wood, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 12:00Shot by Makar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  46. P2 12:54Shot by Sheary, saved by Annunen
  47. P2 13:47Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 14:32Shot by Barré-Boulet, saved by Annunen
  49. P2 14:55Shot by Colton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P2 15:03Goal by Byram (Colton, Lehkonen)+23 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Glendening, Barré-Boulet, Perbix, Chaffee, Lilleberg · COL Johnson, Wood, Lehkonen, Colton, Byram

  51. P2 15:14Cernak: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Paul, Fleury, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · COL Manson, MacKinnon, Drouin, Rantanen, Girard

  52. P2 16:29Shot by Glendening, saved by Annunen4v5
  53. P2 0:00Period end
  54. P3 0:00Period start
  55. P3 0:18Shot by Point, saved by Annunen
  56. P3 0:26Shot by Manson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 1:27Shot by Cirelli, saved by Annunen
  58. P3 1:40Kucherov: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Fleury, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · COL MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen, Makar

  59. P3 1:48Shot by Glendening, saved by Annunen4v5
  60. P3 1:49Shot by Motte, saved by Annunen4v5
  61. P3 2:19Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  62. P3 3:40Goal by Lehkonen (MacKinnon, Drouin)4v5+28 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Glendening, Motte, Fleury, Perbix · COL Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Drouin, Toews, Rantanen

  63. P3 4:00Goal by Stamkos (Kucherov, Hedman)+27 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh · COL Parise, Wood, Toews, Colton, Byram

  64. P3 6:11Shot by Kucherov, saved by Annunen
  65. P3 8:13Goal by Kucherov (Point, Stamkos)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh · COL Lehkonen, Drouin, Colton, Makar, Byram

  66. P3 8:54Shot by Kucherov, saved by Annunen
  67. P3 9:11Shot by Wood, saved by Vasilevskiy
  68. P3 10:17Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Annunen
  69. P3 12:26Shot by MacKinnon, saved by Vasilevskiy
  70. P3 12:41Shot by Glendening, saved by Annunen
  71. P3 12:49Shot by Chaffee, saved by Annunen
  72. P3 13:23Shot by Kucherov, saved by Annunen
  73. P3 13:36Shot by Parise, saved by Vasilevskiy
  74. P3 14:25Shot by Cirelli, saved by Annunen
  75. P3 15:30Shot by Stamkos, saved by Annunen
  76. P3 15:46Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy
  77. P3 16:51Shot by Parise, saved by Vasilevskiy
  78. P3 17:16Shot by Rantanen, saved by Vasilevskiy5v6
  79. P3 19:28Goal by Cirelli (Hagel, Cernak)5v6+3 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Glendening, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · COL Parise, Wood, Lehkonen, MacKinnon, Rantanen, Makar

  80. P3 19:34Goal by Perbix (Lilleberg, Eyssimont)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Motte, Sheary, Eyssimont, Perbix, Lilleberg · COL Parise, Johansen, Wood, Toews, Girard, Byram

  81. P3 0:00Period end
  82. P3 0:00Final