Thu, Feb 15, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Colorado Avalanche 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 89% of the time.
85%
TBL winsCOL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| MacKinnon–Drouin–Rantanen | Wood–Lehkonen–Colton | Parise–Olofsson–Kiviranta | Parise–Cogliano–Johansen | Parise–Wood–Colton | Cogliano–Johansen–MacDermid | Lehkonen–Drouin–Rantanen | Parise–Johansen–Wood | Cogliano–Johansen–Kiviranta | Wood–Olofsson–Kiviranta | Toews–Makar | Manson–Girard | Johnson–Byram | Girard–Byram | Manson–Byram | Johnson–Manson | Makar–Byram | Toews–Girard | Toews–Byram | Manson–Makar | Johnson–Girard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | 3:150.18–0.09 | 1:250.08–0.10 | 1:200.00–0.00 | 0:540.15–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.07 | 1:060.05–0.02 | 1:400.00–0.10 | 4:170.28–0.08 | 1:130.02–0.00 | 1:500.06–0.07 | 0:570.04–0.10 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 0:400.37–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||
| Paul–Cirelli–Hagel | 7:050.26–0.37 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 5:020.25–0.13 | 0:390.00–0.01 | 1:000.00–0.01 | 0:480.00–0.17 | |||||||||||||||
| Motte–Sheary–Eyssimont | 1:390.07–0.00 | 2:230.25–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:350.03–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:500.00–0.00 | 1:300.25–0.00 | 0:470.03–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Cirelli–Hagel–Eyssimont | 5:110.46–0.37 | 3:450.22–0.12 | 0:530.08–0.12 | 1:210.00–0.13 | |||||||||||||||||
| Glendening–Barré-Boulet–Chaffee | 1:110.09–0.40 | 1:210.00–0.03 | 0:380.18–0.00 | 1:360.00–0.03 | 0:570.14–0.40 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Motte–Sheary–Chaffee | 0:320.00–0.08 | 0:320.00–0.08 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Kucherov–Cirelli–Hagel | 1:010.12–0.02 | 0:490.12–0.02 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Raddysh | 0:380.00–0.00 | 2:360.18–0.09 | 1:160.33–0.10 | 1:180.00–0.00 | 1:280.18–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.13 | 0:370.00–0.07 | 1:060.05–0.02 | 2:360.00–0.10 | 3:460.28–0.11 | 1:200.02–0.00 | 1:270.06–0.07 | 1:320.04–0.23 | 1:070.29–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:350.03–0.00 | ||||
| Fleury–Cernak | 10:300.37–0.67 | 1:080.00–0.03 | 7:490.37–0.20 | 1:120.00–0.12 | 1:120.00–0.01 | 0:520.12–0.17 | 1:060.00–0.13 | ||||||||||||||
| Perbix–Lilleberg | 0:320.08–0.00 | 3:270.16–0.48 | 1:260.00–0.00 | 1:020.05–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:510.18–0.01 | 2:380.00–0.00 | 2:130.22–0.44 | 0:400.00–0.08 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.13 | ||||
| Hedman–Perbix | 1:180.14–0.07 | 1:040.12–0.07 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Hedman–Cernak | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Fleury–Perbix | 0:300.09–0.01 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Raddysh–Lilleberg | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:490.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TBLCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Cale MakarCOL | 22 | 27:32 | 1:15 | 2:42 | 4 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 27:31 | 1:01 | 3:16 | 7 | 5 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 27 | 26:34 | 0:59 | 2:16 | 5 | 4 |
 Mikko RantanenCOL | 23 | 26:25 | 1:09 | 3:05 | 5 | 2 |
 Jonathan DrouinCOL | 23 | 25:02 | 1:05 | 3:04 | 5 | 2 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 27 | 24:15 | 0:54 | 2:16 | 3 | 5 |
 Nathan MacKinnonCOL | 20 | 23:55 | 1:12 | 3:03 | 4 | 2 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 24 | 22:05 | 0:55 | 2:20 | 7 | 3 |
 Devon ToewsCOL | 24 | 21:54 | 0:55 | 1:32 | 1 | 5 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 25 | 20:46 | 0:50 | 2:16 | 1 | 5 |
 Artturi LehkonenCOL | 24 | 20:17 | 0:51 | 2:16 | 6 | 2 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 22 | 18:25 | 0:50 | 2:02 | 8 | 2 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 24 | 18:13 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 5 | 2 |
 Samuel GirardCOL | 23 | 18:13 | 0:48 | 1:15 | 1 | 6 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 22 | 18:07 | 0:49 | 2:00 | 9 | 2 |
 Bowen ByramCOL | 22 | 18:05 | 0:49 | 1:33 | 2 | 7 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 26 | 18:03 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 2 | 1 |
 Haydn FleuryTBL | 27 | 17:57 | 0:40 | 1:24 | 2 | 4 |
 Josh MansonCOL | 23 | 16:59 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 1 | 5 |
 Miles WoodCOL | 26 | 16:41 | 0:39 | 1:04 | 2 | 3 |
 Zach PariseCOL | 22 | 15:27 | 0:42 | 1:16 | 0 | 7 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 21 | 15:04 | 0:43 | 1:05 | 1 | 0 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 22 | 14:01 | 0:38 | 1:01 | 1 | 0 |
 Ross ColtonCOL | 22 | 13:50 | 0:38 | 2:02 | 3 | 3 |
 Tyler MotteTBL | 18 | 12:07 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 0 | 3 |
 Ryan JohansenCOL | 17 | 12:06 | 0:43 | 1:32 | 2 | 6 |
 Jack JohnsonCOL | 14 | 11:05 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 0 | 2 |
 Conor ShearyTBL | 15 | 9:58 | 0:40 | 0:57 | 1 | 0 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 14 | 9:37 | 0:41 | 1:29 | 4 | 1 |
 Andrew CoglianoCOL | 15 | 9:27 | 0:38 | 1:13 | 1 | 6 |
 Joel KivirantaCOL | 13 | 9:25 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 1 | 5 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 17 | 8:43 | 0:31 | 1:44 | 2 | 5 |
 Fredrik OlofssonCOL | 12 | 8:14 | 0:41 | 1:01 | 0 | 4 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 12 | 7:15 | 0:36 | 0:50 | 2 | 1 |
 Alex Barré-BouletTBL | 9 | 5:28 | 0:36 | 1:15 | 3 | 0 |
 Kurtis MacDermidCOL | 7 | 3:45 | 0:32 | 0:54 | 2 | 0 |