Thu, Feb 15, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Colorado Avalanche 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 89% of the time.
85%
TBL winsCOL wins
Colorado Avalanche
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Cale MakarD · #8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 27:32 | 0.10 | 41.4% | 0.0 |
 Mikko RantanenRW · #96 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 26:25 | 0.43 | 40.8% | +17.0 |
 Jonathan DrouinLW · #27 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 25:02 | 0.05 | 41.7% | +28.0 |
 Nathan MacKinnonC · #29 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 5 | 23:55 | 0.14 | 36.1% | +45.0 |
 Devon ToewsD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 21:54 | 0.05 | 25.8% | 0.0 |
 Artturi LehkonenLW · #62 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 1 | 20:17 | 0.39 | 40.0% | +50.7 |
 Samuel GirardD · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:13 | 0.03 | 50.2% | 0.0 |
 Bowen ByramD · #4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 18:05 | 0.41 | 56.0% | +39.7 |
 Josh MansonD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:59 | 0.03 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Miles WoodLW · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 16:41 | 0.34 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Zach PariseLW · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 15:27 | 0.33 | 45.3% | 0.0 |
 Ross ColtonC · #20 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 13:50 | 0.19 | 52.3% | +22.7 |
 Ryan JohansenC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:06 | 0.12 | 71.5% | 0.0 |
 Jack JohnsonD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:05 | 0.00 | 46.2% | 0.0 |
 Andrew CoglianoC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:27 | 0.03 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 Joel KivirantaLW · #94 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:25 | 0.00 | 39.9% | 0.0 |
 Fredrik OlofssonLW · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:14 | 0.00 | 20.1% | 0.0 |
 Kurtis MacDermidLW · #56 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:45 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Justus Annunen#60 | L | 37 | 33 | 4 | .892 | 3.55 | −0.5 | 57:38 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 3 | 27:31 | 0.16 | 65.2% | +27.4 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 26:34 | 0.96 | 51.3% | +2.8 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 24:15 | 0.28 | 47.3% | +21.5 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 22:05 | 1.03 | 71.6% | +75.4 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:46 | 0.47 | 55.6% | +2.8 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 3 | 18:25 | 0.47 | 71.1% | +56.7 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 0 | 18:13 | 0.00 | 65.2% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 4 | 18:07 | 0.26 | 70.3% | +46.6 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 18:03 | 0.50 | 52.9% | 0.0 |
 Haydn FleuryD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:57 | 0.00 | 52.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:04 | 0.66 | 70.1% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.02 | 41.3% | 0.0 |
 Tyler MotteC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:07 | 0.14 | 79.5% | 0.0 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:58 | 0.07 | 66.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:37 | 0.11 | 42.0% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:43 | 0.30 | 31.9% | 0.0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:15 | 0.11 | 32.2% | 0.0 |
 Alex Barré-BouletC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:28 | 0.14 | 36.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 2.63 | −0.4 | 59:51 |