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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 22, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Colorado Avalanche 1, Detroit Red Wings 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 62% of the time.

DET winsCOL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against COL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

MacKinnon–Drouin–RantanenWood–Colton–O'ConnorParise–Johansen–LehkonenWagner–MacDermid–KivirantaWood–MacKinnon–RantanenToews–MakarJohnson–ByramManson–GirardManson–ByramMakar–ByramGirard–MakarJohnson–ToewsToews–GirardToews–Byram
Kane–Larkin–Rasmussen2:130.15–0.063:170.03–0.001:480.26–0.010:380.00–0.003:210.14–0.002:240.26–0.071:010.14–0.000:520.00–0.00
Compher–DeBrincat–Raymond4:270.12–0.691:550.10–0.021:280.27–0.206:150.35–0.700:520.08–0.000:360.00–0.00
Perron–Copp–Veleno1:370.02–0.033:370.17–0.281:240.00–0.111:190.00–0.002:460.00–0.261:530.02–0.160:550.17–0.00
Fabbri–Fischer–Sprong0:450.00–0.271:430.25–0.040:330.00–0.000:380.00–0.271:480.18–0.00
Copp–Fischer–Rasmussen0:330.10–0.000:390.06–0.140:390.00–0.060:330.10–0.000:410.06–0.14
Compher–Larkin–Raymond0:510.00–0.001:230.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Kane–DeBrincat–Veleno1:110.03–0.001:110.03–0.000:420.00–0.00
Kane–Larkin–DeBrincat0:310.08–0.00
Perron–Copp–Rasmussen0:390.00–0.001:070.00–0.00
Walman–Seider10:080.31–0.821:020.13–0.087:050.15–0.760:490.08–0.202:000.02–0.061:010.14–0.001:020.00–0.110:540.00–0.060:340.00–0.08
Petry–Chiarot2:030.00–0.276:400.20–0.332:070.35–0.144:080.00–0.022:320.00–0.424:350.62–0.130:390.06–0.14
Maatta–Gostisbehere2:530.52–0.005:510.32–0.111:170.00–0.031:420.22–0.005:370.24–0.111:250.00–0.040:490.00–0.001:160.30–0.000:510.07–0.00
Chiarot–Maatta
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndCopp FPerron FVeleno FRaymond FCompher FDeBrincat FKane FLarkin FRasmussen FFischer FSprong FFabbri FChiarot DPetry DWalman DSeider DMaatta DGostisbehere DLyon GColton FO'Connor FWood FDrouin FMacKinnon FRantanen FParise FLehkonen FJohansen FWagner FKiviranta FManson DGirard DToews DMakar DByram DJohnson DMacDermid DAnnunen G
DETCOLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Cale MakarCOL2427:051:082:2292
Mikko RantanenCOL2525:051:002:4772
Devon ToewsCOL2724:450:551:5762
Nathan MacKinnonCOL2624:100:562:4162
Moritz SeiderDET2522:470:552:3634
Dylan LarkinDET2221:460:591:4833
Jake WalmanDET2721:220:471:3723
Jonathan DrouinCOL2420:590:522:0752
J.T. CompherDET2220:570:571:5743
Ben ChiarotDET2520:190:491:3121
Artturi LehkonenCOL2519:370:471:4553
Patrick KaneDET2019:290:581:5242
Shayne GostisbehereDET2119:270:561:2652
Jeff PetryDET2219:150:531:2921
Bowen ByramCOL2019:120:581:3013
Lucas RaymondDET2018:350:562:0441
Josh MansonCOL2317:550:471:5106
Andrew CoppDET1917:420:561:4203
Samuel GirardCOL2317:390:461:4805
Alex DeBrincatDET1917:320:551:1821
Michael RasmussenDET1816:590:571:3323
Logan O'ConnorCOL2316:560:441:5114
Olli MaattaDET1816:370:551:2622
Miles WoodCOL2115:510:451:3904
Ross ColtonCOL2115:260:441:2705
Zach PariseCOL2015:040:451:0213
Jack JohnsonCOL1714:430:521:5201
David PerronDET1613:570:521:1630
Joseph VelenoDET1613:480:521:1720
Ryan JohansenCOL1511:400:471:1623
Daniel SprongDET129:270:471:4920
Robby FabbriDET139:230:431:4920
Chris WagnerCOL127:490:390:5800
Christian FischerDET107:070:431:1020
Joel KivirantaCOL116:210:350:5410
Kurtis MacDermidCOL85:090:390:5900