Sat, Feb 24, 2024·UBS Arena, Elmont
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New York Islanders 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 52% of the time.
37%
10%
8%
44%
NYI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 25:40 | 0.08 | 39.4% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:40 | 0.09 | 64.5% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.23 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 22:30 | 0.17 | 59.1% | +27.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 21:10 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 19:16 | 0.82 | 59.1% | +9.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:33 | 0.21 | 44.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.21 | 37.2% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.05 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:49 | 0.00 | 48.7% | +16.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:22 | 0.02 | 50.4% | +14.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.04 | 85.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.31 | 69.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:27 | 0.00 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 11:06 | 0.77 | 38.0% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:35 | 0.00 | 19.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:28 | 0.01 | 28.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:13 | 0.00 | 65.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.87 | +0.9 | 60:00 |
New York Islanders
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 24:28 | 0.03 | 43.0% | +9.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:14 | 0.03 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 22:57 | 0.12 | 67.3% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:54 | 0.14 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:22 | 0.67 | 32.9% | +6.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:04 | 0.17 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:00 | 0.17 | 20.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:09 | 0.01 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:51 | 0.87 | 58.0% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:01 | 0.00 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:38 | 0.04 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:19 | 0.11 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 26.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:38 | 0.04 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:11 | 0.13 | 90.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:50 | 0.17 | 63.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6:36 | 0.15 | 84.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:30 | 0.00 | 48.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 2.29 | −0.7 | 56:33 |