Sun, Feb 25, 2024·Prudential Center, Newark
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, New Jersey Devils 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 85% of the time.
10%
81%
NJD winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NJD forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Cirelli–Eyssimont–Chaffee | Stamkos–Paul–Sheary | Glendening–Motte–Chaffee | Paul–Eyssimont–Chaffee | Glendening–Motte–Eyssimont | Glendening–Motte–Sheary | Glendening–Motte–Hagel | Kucherov–Paul–Hagel | de Haan–Cernak | Hedman–Raddysh | Perbix–Lilleberg | Crozier–Lilleberg | Hedman–Perbix | Hedman–Crozier | Raddysh–Lilleberg | Cernak–Lilleberg | de Haan–Perbix | Raddysh–Perbix | Raddysh–Cernak | Hedman–Cernak | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toffoli–Hughes–Mercer | 2:190.22–0.44 | 2:080.00–0.14 | 0:570.00–0.10 | 0:460.00–0.08 | 2:300.00–0.22 | 1:020.00–0.37 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.07 | 1:330.00–0.10 | ||||||||||||
| Nosek–Holtz–Halonen | 1:470.03–0.12 | 0:430.02–0.11 | 1:080.01–0.00 | 0:560.01–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:480.20–0.00 | 1:110.01–0.00 | 0:360.03–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:160.01–0.00 | 0:380.20–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.11 | ||||||||
| Palat–Bratt–Hischier | 1:460.04–0.47 | 1:240.05–0.00 | 0:320.03–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:030.03–0.00 | 0:500.01–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:190.04–0.14 | |||||||||||||
| Meier–Bratt–Hischier | 1:230.70–0.06 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 1:140.06–0.00 | 0:460.70–0.00 | 0:380.06–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.06 | |||||||||||||||
| Haula–Palat–Lazar | 1:000.00–0.00 | 0:560.12–0.00 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 0:400.07–0.00 | 1:140.14–0.00 | 0:490.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Haula–Lazar–Meier | 0:440.04–0.00 | 1:430.05–0.10 | 0:590.05–0.10 | 1:370.04–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Haula–Toffoli–Hughes | 0:540.00–0.25 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.25 | |||||||||||||||||
| Hughes–Mercer–Holtz | 0:590.01–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Haula–Meier–Mercer | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Lazar–Meier–Mercer | 1:170.00–0.09 | 0:560.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Miller–Hughes | 0:390.22–0.07 | 4:300.05–0.45 | 3:290.15–0.10 | 0:320.00–0.08 | 0:310.20–0.00 | 3:230.05–0.30 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 1:370.10–0.15 | 1:180.14–0.00 | 1:110.20–0.07 | 0:340.05–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.10 | |||||||||
| Siegenthaler–Nemec | 2:380.04–0.18 | 1:280.00–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 0:360.01–0.00 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 0:590.01–0.00 | 1:230.00–0.07 | 1:490.04–0.00 | 0:370.02–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.11 | |||||||||||
| Siegenthaler–Marino | 3:500.73–0.12 | 0:540.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 1:010.73–0.06 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 2:140.00–0.06 | 0:320.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Marino–Bahl | 3:000.04–0.39 | 0:430.01–0.00 | 1:160.03–0.00 | 1:130.03–0.00 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:420.01–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.25 | 2:080.04–0.15 | |||||||||||||
| Bahl–Nemec | 0:440.01–0.00 | 1:010.00–0.02 | 1:510.09–0.11 | 0:320.00–0.00 | 0:510.01–0.00 | 1:260.07–0.02 | 0:550.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:310.03–0.10 | ||||||||||||
| Hughes–Nemec | 1:010.00–0.06 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Siegenthaler–Bahl | 0:540.01–0.00 | 0:540.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Miller–Siegenthaler | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Marino–Hughes | 0:360.00–0.13 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NJDTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Victor HedmanTBL | 26 | 25:47 | 1:00 | 2:28 | 5 | 3 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 27 | 23:46 | 0:53 | 1:52 | 3 | 2 |
 Luke HughesNJD | 24 | 22:48 | 0:57 | 2:06 | 8 | 1 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 22 | 21:27 | 0:59 | 2:05 | 4 | 1 |
 Nico HischierNJD | 23 | 20:37 | 0:54 | 2:25 | 5 | 2 |
 Jack HughesNJD | 20 | 20:02 | 1:00 | 1:47 | 6 | 2 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 23 | 19:51 | 0:52 | 1:26 | 6 | 1 |
 John MarinoNJD | 23 | 19:08 | 0:50 | 1:17 | 1 | 7 |
 Simon NemecNJD | 24 | 19:07 | 0:48 | 1:51 | 2 | 1 |
 Jonas SiegenthalerNJD | 23 | 19:05 | 0:50 | 1:37 | 1 | 4 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 27 | 18:48 | 0:42 | 1:42 | 1 | 8 |
 Jesper BrattNJD | 23 | 18:40 | 0:49 | 2:09 | 4 | 2 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 23 | 18:08 | 0:47 | 2:06 | 4 | 5 |
 Colin MillerNJD | 22 | 17:40 | 0:48 | 1:43 | 5 | 1 |
 Emil LillebergTBL | 25 | 16:57 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 1 | 2 |
 Kevin BahlNJD | 22 | 16:52 | 0:46 | 1:20 | 1 | 3 |
 Dawson MercerNJD | 20 | 16:20 | 0:49 | 1:37 | 4 | 3 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 17 | 15:46 | 0:56 | 2:13 | 3 | 2 |
 Tyler ToffoliNJD | 18 | 15:45 | 0:53 | 1:51 | 6 | 2 |
 Erik HaulaNJD | 21 | 14:49 | 0:42 | 1:09 | 4 | 4 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 24 | 14:41 | 0:37 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 20 | 14:21 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 0 | 2 |
 Timo MeierNJD | 19 | 14:19 | 0:45 | 1:04 | 5 | 2 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeTBL | 22 | 14:12 | 0:39 | 1:11 | 1 | 6 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 21 | 14:01 | 0:40 | 1:00 | 2 | 4 |
 Calvin de HaanTBL | 19 | 13:55 | 0:44 | 1:27 | 1 | 5 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 20 | 13:52 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 2 | 2 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 19 | 13:26 | 0:42 | 1:40 | 0 | 5 |
 Curtis LazarNJD | 18 | 13:03 | 0:44 | 1:26 | 2 | 1 |
 Tomas NosekNJD | 19 | 12:40 | 0:40 | 1:19 | 1 | 0 |
 Tyler MotteTBL | 17 | 12:24 | 0:44 | 1:39 | 0 | 4 |
 Ondrej PalatNJD | 19 | 12:02 | 0:38 | 1:08 | 2 | 2 |
 Alexander HoltzNJD | 17 | 12:00 | 0:42 | 1:18 | 1 | 0 |
 Conor ShearyTBL | 17 | 10:59 | 0:39 | 1:08 | 1 | 2 |
 Max CrozierTBL | 17 | 10:52 | 0:38 | 1:16 | 3 | 1 |
 Brian HalonenNJD | 16 | 9:47 | 0:37 | 1:13 | 1 | 0 |