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Ice Lab

Tue, Feb 27, 2024·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia

Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Philadelphia Flyers 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 73% of the time.

PHI winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 2:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ersson
  3. P1 2:22Goal by Brink (Frost, Staal)+16 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Staal, Laughton, Tippett, Zamula, Brink · TBL de Haan, Motte, Point, Hagel, Perbix

  4. P1 4:19Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ersson
  5. P1 6:07Shot by Seeler, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 6:47Shot by Hathaway, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 6:48Shot by Hathaway, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 10:29Shot by Hedman, saved by Ersson
  9. P1 13:45Shot by Hathaway, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 14:15Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 14:25Shot by Lycksell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 15:33Shot by York, saved by Vasilevskiy
  13. P1 15:51Tippett: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Tippett, York, Foerster · TBL Stamkos, Paul, Sheary, Perbix, Lilleberg

  14. P1 15:53Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ersson4v5
  15. P1 17:29Shot by Point, saved by Ersson4v5
  16. P1 0:00Period end
  17. P2 0:00Period start
  18. P2 0:10Shot by Frost, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P2 0:17Shot by Seeler, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P2 0:23Shot by Seeler, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P2 0:48Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ersson
  22. P2 2:59Shot by Hagel, saved by Ersson
  23. P2 3:15Farabee: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Sanheim, Frost, Poehling, Farabee, York, Brink · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Crozier

  24. P2 3:41Cirelli: Tripping (2 min)4v5

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Hathaway, Poehling, Walker · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cirelli

  25. P2 4:20Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Ersson4v4
  26. P2 4:35Goal by Paul (Hagel)4v4+20 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Tippett, York · TBL Paul, Hagel, Perbix, Lilleberg

  27. P2 10:05Shot by Frost, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 10:37Shot by de Haan, saved by Ersson
  29. P2 10:38Shot by Paul, saved by Ersson
  30. P2 13:36Shot by Lycksell, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 14:28Shot by Frost, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 14:51Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ersson
  33. P2 15:00Shot by Hedman, saved by Ersson
  34. P2 15:01Shot by Hedman, saved by Ersson
  35. P2 15:56Hagel: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Poehling, Cates, Lycksell, Walker · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  36. P2 17:18Shot by Tippett, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  37. P2 17:25Shot by Motte, saved by Ersson5v4
  38. P2 18:44Shot by Point, saved by Ersson
  39. P2 19:02Shot by Cates, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 0:00Period end
  41. P3 0:00Period start
  42. P3 0:19Shot by Tippett, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P3 0:54Goal by Foerster (Frost)+25 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Laughton, Walker, Farabee, Foerster · TBL Stamkos, Paul, Sheary, Perbix, Lilleberg

  44. P3 1:05Shot by Laughton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P3 2:43Shot by Kucherov, saved by Ersson
  46. P3 3:08Goal by Sanheim (Cates, Hathaway)+13 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hathaway, Sanheim, Poehling, Cates, Walker · TBL Kucherov, Point, Hagel, Crozier, Lilleberg

  47. P3 5:18Shot by York, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P3 6:40Shot by Seeler, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 6:55Goal by Walker (Farabee, Seeler)+4 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Laughton, Walker, Farabee, Foerster · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Hagel

  50. P3 9:49Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  51. P3 10:02Shot by Laughton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  52. P3 10:03Shot by Laughton, saved by Vasilevskiy
  53. P3 10:07Shot by Deslauriers, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 13:32Shot by Stamkos, saved by Ersson5v6
  55. P3 13:34Shot by Hagel, saved by Ersson5v6
  56. P3 14:31Shot by Point, saved by Ersson5v6
  57. P3 14:34Goal by Stamkos (Point, Kucherov)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Laughton, Sanheim, Walker, Farabee, Foerster · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Hagel

  58. P3 15:06Shot by Hathaway, saved by Vasilevskiy
  59. P3 15:22Goal by Cates (Poehling)5v6+1 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hathaway, Sanheim, Poehling, Cates, York · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Hagel

  60. P3 15:47Shot by Foerster, saved by Vasilevskiy
  61. P3 17:41Goal by York (Sanheim)5v60 pts WP

    On ice: PHI Hathaway, Sanheim, Poehling, Cates, York · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  62. P3 18:08Lilleberg: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: PHI Seeler, Laughton, Lycksell, Walker, Foerster · TBL Stamkos, Paul, Sheary, Crozier, Lilleberg

  63. P3 19:18Shot by Paul, saved by Ersson5v4
  64. P3 0:00Period end5v4
  65. P3 0:00Final5v4