Tue, Feb 27, 2024·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Philadelphia Flyers 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Philadelphia Flyers win this game 73% of the time.
65%
9%
20%
PHI winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 5 | 24:05 | 0.19 | 47.4% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:57 | 0.16 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 21:54 | 0.29 | 41.8% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −4 | 3 | 21:05 | 0.52 | 44.9% | +1.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:08 | 0.32 | 50.4% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:49 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.11 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 17:15 | 0.24 | 62.4% | +1.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:31 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.11 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:40 | 0.00 | 17.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:09 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.25 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:07 | 0.03 | 40.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 21.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:51 | 0.00 | 83.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.00 | 77.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:10 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 1.32 | −2.7 | 55:41 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:40 | 0.03 | 50.5% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 22:11 | 0.34 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 20:04 | 0.44 | 59.1% | +4.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:29 | 0.00 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 17:48 | 0.04 | 63.4% | +4.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.00 | 18.5% | +4.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 0 | 17:23 | 0.03 | 61.3% | +1.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.06 | 31.0% | +25.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.68 | 61.3% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 16:46 | 0.28 | 61.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:57 | 0.16 | 55.1% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 15:11 | 0.58 | 58.3% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.61 | 44.2% | +16.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14:29 | 0.07 | 37.8% | +41.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:37 | 0.04 | 99.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:44 | 0.00 | 86.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:35 | 0.07 | 96.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.04 | 96.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 22 | 20 | 2 | .909 | 2.22 | +0.2 | 60:00 |