Tue, Mar 19, 2024·Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Philadelphia Flyers 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.
33%
11%
8%
48%
PHI winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:42 | 0.15 | 57.9% | +11.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 23:29 | 0.35 | 46.5% | +5.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 23:04 | 0.35 | 47.4% | +10.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:28 | 0.09 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:23 | 0.14 | 61.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:20 | 0.57 | 56.3% | +16.8 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 21:04 | 0.40 | 62.7% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:08 | 0.00 | 34.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 16:32 | 0.12 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:51 | 0.00 | 47.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:35 | 0.05 | 38.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:31 | 0.29 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:50 | 0.15 | 57.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:58 | 0.01 | 78.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:57 | 0.10 | 85.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 10:55 | 0.00 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:10 | 0.00 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:43 | 0.00 | – | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.37 | −1.6 | 57:20 |
Philadelphia Flyers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 26:08 | 0.14 | 55.6% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 26:06 | 0.10 | 46.9% | +16.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.19 | 58.9% | +26.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.06 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:39 | 0.17 | 35.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:37 | 0.27 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 17:21 | 0.19 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 16:54 | 0.14 | 56.5% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 16:27 | 0.05 | 44.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:08 | 0.47 | 64.5% | +10.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:00 | 0.03 | 77.0% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:44 | 0.36 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:38 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.02 | 52.9% | +6.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.05 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:36 | 0.07 | 18.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:12 | 0.07 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:21 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 2.76 | −0.2 | 59:52 |