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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 19, 2024·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Vegas Golden Knights 3

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

5

Final

Home

Vegas Golden Knights

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

VGK winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 1:14Goal by Marchessault (Theodore, Eichel)+16 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Marchessault, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Duclair, Point, Raddysh

  3. P1 2:24Shot by Raddysh, saved by Hill
  4. P1 4:55Shot by Amadio, saved by Vasilevskiy
  5. P1 5:01Shot by Hague, saved by Vasilevskiy
  6. P1 5:46Shot by Duclair, saved by Hill
  7. P1 6:05Duclair: Too many men on the ice (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Theodore, Carrier, Kolesar, Howden · TBL Kucherov, Dumba, Duclair, Point, Perbix

  8. P1 7:00Goal by Cirelli (Hagel)5v4+17 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Karlsson, Marchessault, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel · TBL Hedman, Dumba, Cirelli, Hagel

  9. P1 10:02Shot by Hague, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 10:23Shot by Theodore, saved by Vasilevskiy
  11. P1 10:24Shot by Stephenson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 10:33Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hill
  13. P1 10:37Goal by Duclair (Kucherov)+16 pts WP

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Stephenson, Theodore, Mantha, Roy · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Duclair, Point, Raddysh

  14. P1 11:44Barbashev: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Marchessault, Barbashev, Hanifin, Eichel, Hague · TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix

  15. P1 13:18Shot by Paul, saved by Hill4v5
  16. P1 14:48Shot by Perbix, saved by Hill
  17. P1 15:53Shot by Dumba, saved by Hill
  18. P1 18:04Shot by Raddysh, saved by Hill
  19. P1 18:47Shot by Hedman, saved by Hill
  20. P1 18:55Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  21. P1 0:00Period end
  22. P2 0:00Period start
  23. P2 0:18Shot by McNabb, saved by Vasilevskiy
  24. P2 0:24Shot by McNabb, saved by Vasilevskiy
  25. P2 1:44Shot by Duclair, saved by Hill
  26. P2 2:14Sheary: High sticking (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Martinez, Karlsson, Hutton, Amadio, Cotter · TBL de Haan, Paul, Sheary, Eyssimont, Perbix

  27. P2 3:51Shot by Hutton, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  28. P2 6:24McNabb: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK McNabb, Marchessault, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel · TBL Stamkos, Dumba, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  29. P2 12:18Shot by Hedman, saved by Hill
  30. P2 13:43Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 16:39Shot by Raddysh, saved by Hill
  32. P2 16:52Goal by Howden (Kolesar)+23 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Martinez, Carrier, Kolesar, Howden, Hague · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Duclair, Point, Raddysh

  33. P2 18:38Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 19:16Shot by Hague, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 19:33Shot by Roy, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 0:00Period end
  37. P3 0:00Period start
  38. P3 0:25Shot by McNabb, saved by Vasilevskiy
  39. P3 0:39Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P3 1:40Shot by Howden, saved by Vasilevskiy
  41. P3 3:44Hague: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Stephenson, Carrier, Mantha, Hanifin, Hague · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel

  42. P3 4:52Goal by Point (Kucherov, Stamkos)4v5+25 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Stephenson, Hutton, Hanifin, Roy · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point

  43. P3 7:41Shot by Carrier, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P3 8:11Shot by Howden, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P3 8:16Goal by Hutton (Kolesar)+31 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Martinez, Hutton, Kolesar, Roy, Howden · TBL Stamkos, Dumba, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  46. P3 10:39Shot by Perbix, saved by Hill
  47. P3 10:51Shot by Hagel, saved by Hill
  48. P3 11:38Shot by Theodore, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P3 11:52Shot by Paul, saved by Hill
  50. P3 12:14Goal by Point (Kucherov, Raddysh)+35 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Hanifin, Kolesar, Roy, Howden, Hague · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Raddysh

  51. P3 12:23Dumba: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: VGK Stephenson, Carrier, Mantha, Hanifin, Hague · TBL Stamkos, Dumba, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  52. P3 12:50Shot by Motte, saved by Hill5v4
  53. P3 13:39Shot by Theodore, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  54. P3 13:47Shot by Theodore, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  55. P3 14:13Shot by Hutton, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  56. P3 16:12Shot by Kolesar, saved by Vasilevskiy
  57. P3 16:57Shot by Dumba, saved by Hill
  58. P3 18:43Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy6v5
  59. P3 18:51Goal by Kucherov (Cernak, Stamkos)6v5+5 pts WP

    On ice: VGK Karlsson, Marchessault, Stephenson, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli

  60. P3 18:51Mantha: Delaying game unsuccessful challenge (2 min)6v5

    On ice: VGK Karlsson, Marchessault, Stephenson, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli

  61. P3 0:00Period end4v5
  62. P3 0:00Final4v5