Tue, Mar 19, 2024·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Vegas Golden Knights 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.
33%
12%
9%
45%
VGK winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 24:26 | 0.02 | 43.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:47 | 0.06 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.20 | 13.0% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 2 | 20:00 | 0.80 | 48.1% | +81.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.03 | 15.2% | +17.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.31 | 45.3% | +59.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.01 | 13.5% | +5.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:07 | 0.03 | 43.5% | +35.1 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.00 | 14.0% | +29.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:47 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.07 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:49 | 0.32 | 43.8% | +16.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:13 | 0.27 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:59 | 0.12 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:46 | 0.00 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:37 | 0.00 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:19 | 0.00 | 15.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.01 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:18 | 0.18 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 19:47 | 0.15 | 70.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:26 | 0.16 | 79.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:18 | 0.06 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:06 | 0.09 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:55 | 0.06 | 67.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:52 | 0.12 | 65.8% | +30.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.01 | 91.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.19 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:45 | 0.05 | 37.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.19 | 79.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:58 | 0.20 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.00 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 12:21 | 0.12 | 78.8% | +53.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:09 | 0.25 | 73.1% | +23.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:14 | 0.02 | 72.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:35 | 0.01 | 33.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:16 | 0.18 | 69.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 20 | 16 | 4 | .800 | 1.47 | −2.5 | 59:42 |