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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 19, 2024·T-Mobile Arena, Paradise

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Vegas Golden Knights 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 55% of the time.

VGK winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

VGK forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stamkos–Cirelli–HagelKucherov–Duclair–PointGlendening–Motte–JeannotPaul–Sheary–EyssimontDumba–CernakHedman–Raddyshde Haan–PerbixHedman–PerbixDumba–RaddyshDumba–Perbixde Haan–Raddyshde Haan–Dumba
Marchessault–Barbashev–Eichel1:170.00–0.032:040.21–0.081:470.03–0.002:240.03–0.004:280.03–0.002:320.21–0.081:320.03–0.000:390.00–0.03
Stephenson–Mantha–Roy5:130.23–0.010:410.11–0.250:320.00–0.010:300.00–0.002:250.06–0.012:200.28–0.252:220.00–0.01
Karlsson–Amadio–Cotter0:330.02–0.001:060.00–0.063:330.02–0.010:580.00–0.001:160.02–0.001:180.03–0.003:350.02–0.000:310.00–0.01
Carrier–Kolesar–Howden1:550.05–0.031:020.00–0.010:300.00–0.001:280.00–0.061:170.05–0.010:530.01–0.00
Stephenson–Carrier–Mantha1:150.11–0.001:080.00–0.020:350.01–0.001:150.11–0.00
Kolesar–Roy–Howden1:050.23–0.001:000.07–0.021:420.36–0.000:400.06–0.00
McNabb–Theodore2:280.07–0.002:540.40–0.254:320.05–0.041:160.00–0.006:550.28–0.042:440.23–0.262:200.18–0.010:410.00–0.010:450.00–0.00
Hanifin–Hague5:080.13–0.013:440.09–0.191:100.00–0.022:090.00–0.035:220.24–0.232:160.02–0.00
Martinez–Hutton1:150.17–0.060:540.06–0.002:330.00–0.003:510.07–0.002:570.25–0.001:420.00–0.004:370.00–0.060:360.06–0.00
Martinez–Hague1:180.05–0.000:560.21–0.000:370.00–0.00
Martinez–Hanifin0:510.00–0.000:410.01–0.00
Hutton–Hanifin
Hutton–Hague0:380.00–0.020:310.00–0.060:470.00–0.02
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRoy FStephenson FMantha FMarchessault FBarbashev FEichel FAmadio FCotter FKarlsson FHowden FCarrier FKolesar FHague DHanifin DMcNabb DTheodore DHutton DMartinez DHill GHagel FCirelli FStamkos FKucherov FPoint FDuclair FPaul FEyssimont FSheary FJeannot FGlendening FMotte FDumba DCernak DRaddysh DHedman Dde Haan DPerbix DVasilevskiy G
VGKTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2524:260:592:0547
Noah HanifinVGK2622:180:511:1944
Mathew DumbaTBL2521:470:522:0012
Anthony CirelliTBL2520:200:491:3503
Nikita KucherovTBL2220:000:551:4483
Shea TheodoreVGK2319:470:522:1130
Jack EichelVGK2519:260:471:4883
Nicolas HagueVGK2319:180:501:1924
Chandler StephensonVGK2319:060:501:5152
Brandon HagelTBL2418:580:471:3113
Brayden McNabbVGK2418:550:471:5911
Ben HuttonVGK2118:520:542:2240
Brayden PointTBL2318:410:491:2083
Erik CernakTBL2418:300:462:0004
Darren RaddyshTBL2118:070:521:2333
Alec MartinezVGK2217:550:491:3921
Nicolas RoyVGK2217:460:481:2761
Steven StamkosTBL1817:210:582:0403
Calvin de HaanTBL2016:470:501:1301
William KarlssonVGK2116:450:481:2726
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK2216:340:451:3871
Ivan BarbashevVGK2315:580:421:2780
Anthony ManthaVGK1915:460:501:2252
Nick PerbixTBL2114:540:431:2100
Anthony DuclairTBL1914:490:471:1750
Nick PaulTBL1914:130:451:1114
Tyler MotteTBL1612:590:491:2703
Luke GlendeningTBL1912:260:391:0915
Keegan KolesarVGK1712:210:441:0900
Brett HowdenVGK1712:090:431:0901
Paul CotterVGK1211:140:561:3311
Michael EyssimontTBL1510:460:431:0812
Tanner JeannotTBL1310:370:491:1300
Michael AmadioVGK1210:350:531:0510
William CarrierVGK169:160:351:0302
Conor ShearyTBL138:190:381:1501