Tue, Apr 2, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 2, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 69% of the time.
60%
8%
24%
BUF winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 23:54 | 0.04 | 34.6% | +11.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:36 | 0.06 | 31.9% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.01 | 6.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:08 | 0.00 | 34.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 18:58 | 0.24 | 20.5% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:11 | 0.05 | 15.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:56 | 0.01 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.30 | 42.1% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.03 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 15:57 | 0.49 | 41.4% | +11.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 15:46 | 0.17 | 43.3% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:01 | 0.07 | 21.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:35 | 0.13 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:35 | 0.26 | 35.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:56 | 0.38 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.03 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:42 | 0.00 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.20 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
| – | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1.000 | 0.33 | +0.3 | 14:19 | |
| L | 31 | 25 | 6 | .806 | 3.27 | −2.7 | 45:33 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 23:38 | 0.16 | 84.8% | +17.1 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 21:05 | 0.11 | 83.1% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.02 | 45.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 20:17 | 0.45 | 86.5% | +32.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 4 | 19:41 | 0.62 | 86.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:21 | 0.00 | 39.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 18:41 | 0.61 | 82.7% | +41.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:02 | 0.05 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:06 | 0.00 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:10 | 0.47 | 54.3% | +4.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.12 | 30.2% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:16 | 0.37 | 89.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 13:38 | 0.28 | 54.7% | +22.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:29 | 0.11 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:04 | 0.00 | 71.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:16 | 0.09 | 85.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:53 | 0.03 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 9:55 | 0.10 | 42.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 2.47 | +0.5 | 60:00 |