Tue, Apr 2, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Washington Capitals 2, Buffalo Sabres 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 69% of the time.
60%
8%
24%
BUF winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Pacioretty–Milano–Strome | Dowd–Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn | Ovechkin–McMichael–Miroshnichenko | Ovechkin–McMichael–Protas | Sgarbossa–Lapierre–Miroshnichenko | Sgarbossa–Protas–Lapierre | Carlson–Fehérváry | Jensen–Sandin | van Riemsdyk–Alexeyev | van Riemsdyk–Sandin | Jensen–Alexeyev | Carlson–Sandin | Jensen–Fehérváry | Carlson–Alexeyev | van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tuch–Thompson–Peterka | 1:580.00–0.03 | 2:330.07–0.10 | 2:490.18–0.00 | 3:410.35–0.11 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 1:240.34–0.00 | 8:370.38–0.12 | 1:370.02–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.09 | 0:340.18–0.00 | 0:560.23–0.03 | 0:520.34–0.00 | 0:340.14–0.00 | ||
| Skinner–Krebs–Rousek | 2:040.05–0.04 | 2:350.18–0.00 | 1:290.00–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 1:180.21–0.00 | 0:350.05–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 3:350.28–0.06 | 3:050.06–0.00 | 0:570.09–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:320.05–0.00 | ||
| Cozens–Quinn–Benson | 4:100.14–0.33 | 1:140.08–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.17 | 0:520.00–0.20 | 2:410.14–0.09 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 2:240.00–0.21 | 0:450.33–0.00 | 0:390.15–0.06 | 0:320.08–0.00 | |||||
| Girgensons–Olofsson–Robinson | 0:380.01–0.00 | 2:330.10–0.03 | 0:520.00–0.02 | 2:190.03–0.26 | 2:140.00–0.27 | 1:520.10–0.00 | 2:350.04–0.04 | 0:480.03–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Cozens–Quinn–Peterka | 0:320.01–0.00 | 0:380.01–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Girgensons–Robinson–Rousek | 0:510.00–0.12 | ||||||||||||||
| Skinner–Cozens–Quinn | 0:350.04–0.00 | 0:320.04–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Skinner–Tuch–Thompson | 0:390.03–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 1:110.00–0.00 | 3:240.24–0.04 | 3:110.28–0.00 | 3:240.35–0.15 | 1:460.42–0.05 | 6:050.38–0.22 | 3:160.21–0.00 | 4:270.11–0.15 | 2:110.60–0.00 | 0:320.03–0.00 | 0:530.34–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||
| Jokiharju–Byram | 7:270.14–0.36 | 2:090.01–0.09 | 2:150.08–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.12 | 1:390.04–0.20 | 1:030.00–0.02 | 5:090.14–0.04 | 4:010.06–0.00 | 4:580.00–0.32 | 1:070.00–0.03 | 1:000.15–0.06 | 0:350.08–0.00 | |||
| Clifton–Bryson | 1:320.01–0.04 | 1:440.09–0.11 | 0:430.11–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.01 | 2:430.21–0.03 | 2:080.00–0.25 | 4:120.11–0.27 | 4:560.25–0.07 | 1:090.10–0.00 | 1:240.00–0.11 | 1:000.23–0.00 | ||||
| Clifton–Power | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:570.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Power | 0:300.18–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 John CarlsonWSH | 27 | 23:54 | 0:53 | 1:31 | 4 | 5 |
 Owen PowerBUF | 26 | 23:38 | 0:55 | 1:59 | 6 | 4 |
 Rasmus DahlinBUF | 27 | 21:05 | 0:47 | 1:59 | 5 | 4 |
 Henri JokiharjuBUF | 26 | 20:43 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 3 | 3 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 25 | 20:36 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 3 | 4 |
 Alex TuchBUF | 24 | 20:17 | 0:51 | 1:13 | 6 | 5 |
 Tage ThompsonBUF | 22 | 19:41 | 0:54 | 1:18 | 5 | 3 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 25 | 19:27 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 1 | 3 |
 Bowen ByramBUF | 25 | 19:21 | 0:46 | 1:45 | 4 | 3 |
 Nick JensenWSH | 24 | 19:08 | 0:48 | 1:29 | 0 | 2 |
 Alex OvechkinWSH | 19 | 18:58 | 1:00 | 2:10 | 4 | 0 |
 JJ PeterkaBUF | 22 | 18:41 | 0:51 | 1:52 | 6 | 3 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 20 | 18:11 | 0:55 | 1:59 | 5 | 2 |
 Connor CliftonBUF | 21 | 18:02 | 0:52 | 1:56 | 1 | 7 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 17 | 16:56 | 1:00 | 1:55 | 2 | 2 |
 Michael SgarbossaWSH | 18 | 16:43 | 0:56 | 1:52 | 5 | 0 |
 Alexander AlexeyevWSH | 17 | 16:33 | 0:58 | 2:29 | 2 | 1 |
 Jacob BrysonBUF | 19 | 16:06 | 0:51 | 1:13 | 1 | 5 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 19 | 15:57 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 5 | 2 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 17 | 15:46 | 0:56 | 1:46 | 4 | 0 |
 Jack QuinnBUF | 22 | 15:10 | 0:41 | 1:06 | 2 | 2 |
 Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH | 16 | 15:01 | 0:56 | 2:01 | 2 | 0 |
 Sonny MilanoWSH | 18 | 14:35 | 0:49 | 1:34 | 3 | 1 |
 Max PaciorettyWSH | 19 | 14:35 | 0:46 | 1:44 | 3 | 2 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsBUF | 20 | 14:22 | 0:43 | 1:38 | 4 | 5 |
 Jeff SkinnerBUF | 16 | 14:16 | 0:54 | 1:17 | 3 | 2 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 17 | 13:56 | 0:49 | 1:14 | 4 | 1 |
 Zach BensonBUF | 19 | 13:38 | 0:43 | 1:36 | 2 | 2 |
 Dylan CozensBUF | 21 | 13:29 | 0:39 | 1:02 | 1 | 2 |
 Lukas RousekBUF | 13 | 13:04 | 1:00 | 1:58 | 3 | 2 |
 Beck MalenstynWSH | 17 | 13:03 | 0:46 | 1:25 | 0 | 5 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 17 | 12:42 | 0:45 | 1:36 | 0 | 5 |
 Peyton KrebsBUF | 14 | 12:16 | 0:53 | 1:20 | 3 | 2 |
 Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH | 16 | 12:00 | 0:45 | 1:30 | 0 | 5 |
 Eric RobinsonBUF | 15 | 11:53 | 0:48 | 1:52 | 2 | 1 |
 Victor OlofssonBUF | 15 | 9:55 | 0:40 | 1:13 | 3 | 1 |