Sat, Apr 6, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 59% of the time.
49%
10%
8%
32%
PIT winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 24:02 | 0.45 | 34.1% | +54.1 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | −1 | 1 | 23:48 | 0.13 | 45.9% | +54.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:49 | 0.03 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 21:54 | 0.24 | 45.5% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.15 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:45 | 0.05 | 32.9% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −3 | 7 | 17:00 | 0.51 | 22.3% | +41.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:30 | 0.00 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:15 | 0.09 | 16.9% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:08 | 0.04 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.10 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:16 | 0.06 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.06 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 13:47 | 0.16 | 41.0% | +12.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:17 | 0.02 | 22.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:01 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:23 | 0.08 | 28.0% | +5.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:18 | 0.25 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 28 | 23 | 5 | .821 | 2.95 | −2.0 | 57:37 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 25:14 | 0.06 | 50.1% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:22 | 0.00 | 62.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 22:23 | 0.07 | 85.5% | +65.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.23 | 70.3% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:36 | 0.32 | 66.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:33 | 0.42 | 71.3% | +16.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 5 | 18:09 | 0.87 | 71.1% | +55.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:09 | 0.01 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 16:33 | 0.01 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.06 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 15:12 | 0.31 | 73.1% | +55.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:37 | 0.05 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.04 | 84.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 84.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:01 | 0.09 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:15 | 0.04 | 82.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:06 | 0.01 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6:54 | 0.36 | 74.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 2.42 | −1.6 | 60:00 |