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Ice Lab

Sat, Apr 6, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 59% of the time.

PIT winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Duclair–PointMotte–Eyssimont–ChaffeeGlendening–Motte–ShearyStamkos–Paul–HagelKucherov–Point–HagelPaul–Eyssimont–ChaffeeGlendening–Sheary–EyssimontStamkos–Duclair–PaulStamkos–Hagel–EyssimontPaul–Sheary–EyssimontStamkos–Kucherov–HagelHedman–RaddyshFleury–CernakPerbix–LillebergDumba–LillebergCernak–PerbixCernak–LillebergHedman–DumbaFleury–RaddyshFleury–PerbixDumba–FleuryHedman–PerbixDumba–Perbix
Malkin–Rakell–Bunting1:190.29–0.000:490.00–0.001:370.06–0.001:250.00–0.040:530.30–0.000:360.19–0.001:240.29–0.023:200.26–0.043:110.30–0.061:060.19–0.000:410.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Crosby–Rust–O'Connor2:370.06–0.171:450.24–0.001:160.00–0.000:440.28–0.001:220.03–0.030:470.00–0.033:580.09–0.171:040.06–0.030:300.24–0.001:290.00–0.001:140.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:310.00–0.010:460.21–0.00
Eller–Smith–Puustinen1:470.05–0.001:380.01–0.000:300.00–0.010:490.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:390.00–0.001:020.00–0.011:150.00–0.060:320.00–0.000:300.06–0.000:430.01–0.00
Carter–Puljujarvi–Bemstrom0:420.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:030.05–0.120:370.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:460.00–0.12
Carter–Eller–Smith0:410.08–0.060:480.06–0.001:050.08–0.060:310.00–0.11
Crosby–Smith–Puustinen0:460.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Malkin–Rakell–O'Connor0:320.00–0.00
Karlsson–Pettersson2:220.29–0.002:140.25–0.003:140.01–0.002:240.34–0.002:040.03–0.071:310.00–0.040:370.00–0.003:200.32–0.003:420.07–0.072:280.25–0.051:310.00–0.111:520.00–0.000:480.05–0.000:340.14–0.000:330.00–0.000:430.01–0.00
Letang–Joseph4:520.11–0.201:180.00–0.021:010.00–0.000:520.05–0.001:240.08–0.060:520.00–0.011:060.00–0.006:170.14–0.411:080.00–0.010:500.30–0.021:170.00–0.000:570.05–0.000:500.06–0.010:560.11–0.000:340.00–0.03
Shea–St. Ivany0:530.22–0.050:460.00–0.060:340.06–0.001:170.00–0.000:540.00–0.031:060.00–0.000:530.19–0.001:240.25–0.001:400.00–0.002:490.29–0.060:310.06–0.001:160.00–0.051:050.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Letang–Pettersson0:430.00–0.120:310.00–0.12
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBunting FRakell FMalkin FO'Connor FRust FCrosby FSmith FPuustinen FEller FBemstrom FPuljujarvi FCarter FPettersson DKarlsson DLetang DJoseph DSt. Ivany DShea DNedeljkovic GPaul FHagel FStamkos FMotte FChaffee FEyssimont FDuclair FPoint FKucherov FSheary FGlendening FFleury DCernak DDumba DLilleberg DRaddysh DHedman DPerbix DVasilevskiy G
PITTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Kris LetangPIT2925:140:522:3645
Nikita KucherovTBL2624:020:552:2350
Victor HedmanTBL2823:480:512:2383
Marcus PetterssonPIT2923:220:482:1023
Brayden PointTBL2322:491:002:2350
Erik KarlssonPIT2822:230:482:2222
Nick PaulTBL2321:540:573:2244
Bryan RustPIT2821:480:472:0365
Drew O'ConnorPIT2918:360:381:0344
Brandon HagelTBL2118:360:532:1653
Sidney CrosbyPIT3018:330:371:2276
Evgeni MalkinPIT2218:090:502:2440
Emil LillebergTBL2417:450:441:2102
Pierre-Olivier JosephPIT2417:090:431:4422
Steven StamkosTBL1917:000:542:2351
Rickard RakellPIT2216:330:451:2330
Lars EllerPIT2616:320:381:1122
Erik CernakTBL2415:300:391:1233
Michael EyssimontTBL2215:150:421:2033
Michael BuntingPIT2115:120:432:0730
Darren RaddyshTBL2015:080:451:3650
Reilly SmithPIT2314:370:381:1922
Jack St. IvanyPIT1814:360:491:5334
Tyler MotteTBL2114:360:421:1914
Nick PerbixTBL2114:160:411:0913
Mathew DumbaTBL1813:580:471:1300
Ryan SheaPIT1613:550:521:2933
Anthony DuclairTBL1913:470:441:0900
Haydn FleuryTBL2113:170:381:2122
Jeff CarterPIT2213:010:361:0617
Conor ShearyTBL1913:010:411:1404
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL1712:230:441:1122
Luke GlendeningTBL1811:180:381:0104
Valtteri PuustinenPIT1810:150:341:1911
Jesse PuljujarviPIT117:060:390:5100
Emil BemstromPIT116:540:381:0900