Wed, Apr 17, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.
62%
25%
TBL winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 12 | 21:03 | 0.72 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 21:02 | 0.08 | 43.2% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:16 | 0.10 | 44.7% | 0.0 |
 Ilya LyubushkinD · #46 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:02 | 0.04 | 24.1% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:45 | 0.00 | 37.6% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:41 | 0.05 | 46.0% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 17:29 | 0.77 | 26.8% | 0.0 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.45 | 59.6% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.00 | 35.0% | 0.0 |
 Conor TimminsD · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.08 | 53.4% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 15:37 | 0.00 | 53.6% | +12.3 |
 Connor DewarC · #24 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 14:54 | 0.01 | 48.5% | +12.3 |
 Pontus HolmbergRW · #29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:50 | 0.36 | 39.7% | +0.1 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:59 | 0.25 | 47.0% | 0.0 |
 Noah GregorLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:21 | 0.29 | 36.8% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.06 | 36.0% | +0.1 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:28 | 0.11 | 59.0% | 0.0 |
 Ryan ReavesRW · #75 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:10 | 0.07 | 52.4% | +12.2 |
 Martin Jones#31 | L | 32 | 26 | 6 | .813 | 4.00 | −2.0 | 57:17 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:04 | 0.10 | 60.2% | +5.3 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 23:55 | 0.64 | 58.1% | +17.1 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 22:03 | 0.52 | 59.3% | +29.8 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:47 | 0.08 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 19:29 | 0.56 | 48.9% | +5.3 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 19:00 | 1.02 | 78.4% | +25.0 |
 Mathew DumbaD · #24 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 70.9% | +16.6 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 17:56 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.48 | 65.5% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16:57 | 0.19 | 75.2% | +14.3 |
 Calvin de HaanD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 16:27 | 0.00 | 62.6% | +2.4 |
 Conor ShearyLW · #73 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:08 | 0.13 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Tanner JeannotLW · #84 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.25 | 56.1% | +0.1 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:33 | 0.40 | 56.5% | +0.1 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 12:10 | 0.06 | 57.0% | +0.1 |
 Anthony DuclairLW · #10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:38 | 0.24 | 73.7% | +29.8 |
 Austin WatsonLW · #51 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:37 | 0.04 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
 Matt Tomkins#90 | W | 38 | 34 | 4 | .895 | 3.44 | −0.6 | 59:24 |