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Ice Lab

Wed, Apr 17, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Toronto Maple Leafs 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 69% of the time.

TBL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Gregor–Holmberg–RobertsonReaves–Kampf–DewarBertuzzi–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Nylander–KniesBrodie–LyubushkinGiordano–TimminsLiljegren–BenoitLyubushkin–BenoitBrodie–LiljegrenGiordano–BenoitGiordano–Liljegren
Watson–Sheary–Jeannot1:350.00–0.242:380.04–0.011:270.00–0.052:020.04–0.191:230.00–0.00
Kucherov–Point–Hagel2:420.16–0.151:140.21–0.000:330.00–0.001:260.16–0.012:000.21–0.000:330.00–0.00
Eyssimont–Jeannot–Chaffee0:590.61–0.000:540.01–0.020:550.61–0.001:030.00–0.020:520.00–0.00
Kucherov–Duclair–Point0:450.00–0.040:410.00–0.072:130.10–0.000:470.04–0.001:310.00–0.090:520.06–0.000:410.00–0.07
Stamkos–Duclair–Paul0:380.12–0.001:310.09–0.050:480.03–0.001:520.26–0.01
Paul–Eyssimont–Chaffee0:560.03–0.061:500.08–0.031:390.06–0.000:350.00–0.06
Stamkos–Kucherov–Hagel0:340.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Watson–Eyssimont–Jeannot0:590.00–0.001:110.00–0.00
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point0:500.01–0.011:070.01–0.08
Sheary–Eyssimont–Chaffee0:390.00–0.300:390.00–0.30
Stamkos–Sheary–Hagel0:300.00–0.000:360.13–0.001:060.13–0.00
Raddysh–Lilleberg4:100.34–0.363:180.01–0.022:390.10–0.015:110.20–0.221:160.00–0.213:190.26–0.000:330.00–0.00
de Haan–Dumba3:000.00–0.222:310.00–0.003:110.20–0.042:480.28–0.006:200.25–0.220:480.38–0.000:390.00–0.00
Cernak–Perbix1:200.12–0.000:350.04–0.015:140.08–0.343:430.18–0.081:350.04–0.011:350.02–0.260:360.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:520.03–0.00
de Haan–Raddysh0:510.00–0.060:590.02–0.310:310.00–0.000:410.02–0.060:460.00–0.30
Raddysh–Perbix1:290.01–0.080:310.21–0.001:000.53–0.010:300.21–0.000:410.00–0.07
Dumba–Perbix1:090.05–0.000:570.14–0.000:560.05–0.08
Cernak–Lilleberg0:360.00–0.000:480.12–0.000:430.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPaul FEyssimont FChaffee FKucherov FPoint FDuclair FHagel FStamkos FJeannot FSheary FWatson FPerbix DCernak DRaddysh DLilleberg DDumba Dde Haan DTomkins GMarner FMatthews FBertuzzi FNylander FTavares FKnies FRobertson FHolmberg FGregor FDewar FKampf FReaves FBenoit DLiljegren DBrodie DLyubushkin DGiordano DTimmins DJones G
TBLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Darren RaddyshTBL2124:041:092:5815
Nikita KucherovTBL2023:551:123:4214
Nick PaulTBL2522:030:532:0636
Auston MatthewsTOR2121:031:002:3550
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2721:020:471:3541
TJ BrodieTOR2220:160:551:1742
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2520:020:481:1955
Emil LillebergTBL2219:470:541:2815
Mitch MarnerTOR2019:450:592:3160
Brayden PointTBL1819:291:053:1024
Steven StamkosTBL2019:000:572:2224
Mark GiordanoTOR2418:410:471:1720
Mathew DumbaTBL1918:210:581:5900
Erik CernakTBL2117:560:511:4104
William NylanderTOR1717:291:022:2560
Nick PerbixTBL2017:200:521:4114
John TavaresTOR1717:131:012:2560
Brandon HagelTBL1916:570:541:4311
Simon BenoitTOR2516:520:402:0412
Conor TimminsTOR2116:320:471:1110
Calvin de HaanTBL1916:270:521:5802
Conor ShearyTBL2016:080:481:2213
David KampfTOR1915:370:491:3744
Connor DewarTOR1914:540:471:1044
Pontus HolmbergTOR1814:500:491:1011
Tanner JeannotTBL1814:110:471:2801
Tyler BertuzziTOR1613:590:522:1330
Michael EyssimontTBL1913:330:431:2802
Noah GregorTOR1613:210:501:2410
Nick RobertsonTOR1612:520:481:1710
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL2012:100:371:2802
Anthony DuclairTBL1511:380:471:0803
Austin WatsonTBL1611:370:441:2000
Matthew KniesTOR1511:280:461:1122
Ryan ReavesTOR1210:100:511:2241