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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 7, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Away

Carolina Hurricanes

2

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 83% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:52Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  3. P1 2:42Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  4. P1 4:00Shot by Paul, saved by Kochetkov
  5. P1 4:16Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Kochetkov
  6. P1 7:27Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 9:16Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Kochetkov
  8. P1 10:35Shot by Walker, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 10:44Shot by Robinson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 12:09Chatfield: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Paul, Eyssimont, Perbix, Chaffee, Lilleberg · CAR Staal, Orlov, Martinook, Chatfield, Svechnikov

  11. P1 13:14Shot by Hedman, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  12. P1 13:48Shot by Jarvis, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  13. P1 16:35Shot by Hagel, saved by Kochetkov
  14. P1 16:36Shot by Hagel, saved by Kochetkov
  15. P1 16:38Goal by Hagel (Raddysh)+14 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Raddysh, Cirelli, Hagel, Geekie · CAR Orlov, Aho, Roslovic, Chatfield, Jarvis

  16. P1 17:10Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Kochetkov
  17. P1 17:18Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  18. P1 17:43Shot by Blake, saved by Vasilevskiy
  19. P1 17:44Shot by Jaaska, saved by Vasilevskiy
  20. P1 18:38Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kochetkov
  21. P1 19:13Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kochetkov
  22. P1 19:24Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kochetkov
  23. P1 0:00Period end
  24. P2 0:00Period start
  25. P2 0:14Shot by McDonagh, saved by Kochetkov
  26. P2 1:51Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy
  27. P2 2:34Shot by Cirelli, saved by Kochetkov
  28. P2 2:59Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 3:57Smith: Tripping (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Glendening, Girgensons, Raddysh, Goncalves · CAR Walker, Drury, Smith, Blake, Jaaska

  30. P2 5:11Shot by Point, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  31. P2 6:10Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 6:15Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 6:26Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  34. P2 6:31Goal by Svechnikov (Staal)+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Glendening, Girgensons, Perbix, Goncalves, Lilleberg · CAR Staal, Martinook, Walker, Svechnikov, Smith

  35. P2 7:15Shot by Point, saved by Kochetkov
  36. P2 7:18Burns: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Cernak · CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Roslovic, Jarvis

  37. P2 7:58Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kochetkov5v4
  38. P2 9:17Goal by Paul (Raddysh, Geekie)5v4+19 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Kucherov, Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Geekie · CAR Slavin, Walker, Robinson, Drury

  39. P2 10:14Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 10:51Shot by Girgensons, saved by Kochetkov
  41. P2 10:58Shot by Glendening, saved by Kochetkov
  42. P2 11:30Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  43. P2 11:50Shot by Svechnikov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  44. P2 12:28Shot by Necas, saved by Vasilevskiy
  45. P2 13:39Shot by Perbix, saved by Kochetkov
  46. P2 14:28Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  47. P2 14:40Shot by Martinook, saved by Vasilevskiy
  48. P2 14:44Shot by Burns, saved by Vasilevskiy
  49. P2 16:37Shot by Perbix, saved by Kochetkov
  50. P2 17:09Shot by Hagel, saved by Kochetkov
  51. P2 17:47Shot by Goncalves, saved by Kochetkov
  52. P2 18:17Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Kochetkov
  53. P2 18:28Kucherov: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh · CAR Burns, Slavin, Necas, Robinson, Kotkaniemi

  54. P2 19:00Shot by Jarvis, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  55. P2 19:17Shot by Aho, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  56. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  57. P3 0:00Period start
  58. P3 0:48Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Kochetkov
  59. P3 2:21Shot by Kucherov, saved by Kochetkov
  60. P3 2:24Shot by Perbix, saved by Kochetkov
  61. P3 2:59Shot by Jaaska, saved by Vasilevskiy
  62. P3 4:28Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  63. P3 4:50Shot by McDonagh, saved by Kochetkov
  64. P3 6:58Shot by Orlov, saved by Vasilevskiy
  65. P3 7:14Shot by Hagel, saved by Kochetkov
  66. P3 9:43Shot by Smith, saved by Vasilevskiy
  67. P3 9:56Goal by Staal (Burns)+29 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Paul, Raddysh, Eyssimont, Chaffee · CAR Burns, Staal, Martinook, Slavin, Svechnikov

  68. P3 11:50Shot by Hedman, saved by Kochetkov
  69. P3 12:37Shot by Point, saved by Kochetkov
  70. P3 14:20Shot by Staal, saved by Vasilevskiy
  71. P3 17:36Shot by Slavin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  72. P3 18:52Shot by Point, saved by Kochetkov
  73. P3 19:08Goal by Point (Kucherov, Guentzel)+42 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh · CAR Staal, Orlov, Martinook, Walker, Svechnikov

  74. P3 0:00Aho: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  75. P3 0:00Aho: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  76. P3 0:00Cirelli: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  77. P3 0:00Hagel: Roughing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Kucherov, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · CAR Burns, Slavin, Aho, Necas, Svechnikov, Jarvis

  78. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  79. P3 0:00Final5v6