Tue, Jan 7, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 83% of the time.
76%
12%
TBL winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jaccob SlavinD · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 24:11 | 0.02 | 39.1% | 0.0 |
 Dmitry OrlovD · #7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:10 | 0.06 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
 Brent BurnsD · #8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:52 | 0.06 | 40.6% | +28.9 |
 Jalen ChatfieldD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:55 | 0.03 | 30.1% | 0.0 |
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.11 | 7.8% | 0.0 |
 Seth JarvisRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:21 | 0.11 | 7.5% | 0.0 |
 Jordan MartinookLW · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:44 | 0.11 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Sean WalkerD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.03 | 43.3% | 0.0 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:24 | 0.20 | 37.9% | +46.3 |
 Andrei SvechnikovRW · #37 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 16:23 | 0.16 | 55.1% | +17.4 |
 Martin NecasC · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:55 | 0.36 | 76.7% | 0.0 |
 Ty SmithD · #42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 13:31 | 0.07 | 57.4% | 0.0 |
 Eric RobinsonLW · #50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:19 | 0.08 | 69.8% | 0.0 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.05 | 71.6% | 0.0 |
 Jackson BlakeRW · #53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:40 | 0.13 | 52.5% | 0.0 |
 Jack RoslovicC · #96 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:26 | 0.00 | 3.1% | 0.0 |
 Jack DruryC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:03 | 0.00 | 50.6% | 0.0 |
 Juha JaaskaLW · #54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:29 | 0.25 | 49.8% | 0.0 |
 Pyotr Kochetkov#52 | L | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 3.87 | +0.9 | 59:13 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 22:50 | 0.78 | 70.2% | +42.0 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:37 | 0.05 | 71.9% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:48 | 1.01 | 73.5% | +42.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:47 | 0.81 | 82.2% | +14.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:07 | 0.00 | 87.6% | 0.0 |
 Ryan McDonaghD · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:59 | 0.02 | 85.1% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.02 | 70.6% | +33.0 |
 Jake GuentzelC · #59 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:10 | 0.13 | 70.3% | +42.0 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:22 | 0.04 | 27.3% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.05 | 78.2% | 0.0 |
 Emil LillebergD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:11 | 0.00 | 28.5% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.17 | 42.6% | +19.0 |
 Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:21 | 0.00 | 31.0% | 0.0 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 13:39 | 0.38 | 55.2% | 0.0 |
 Conor GeekieC · #14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.00 | 82.9% | +19.0 |
 Zemgus GirgensonsC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:14 | 0.09 | 70.8% | 0.0 |
 Luke GlendeningC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.30 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Gage GoncalvesC · #93 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 7:43 | 0.00 | 4.0% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 1.83 | −0.2 | 60:00 |