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Ice Lab

Tue, Jan 7, 2025·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Carolina Hurricanes 2, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 83% of the time.

TBL winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Staal–Martinook–SvechnikovNecas–Robinson–KotkaniemiAho–Roslovic–JarvisDrury–Blake–JaaskaAho–Jarvis–BlakeRoslovic–Drury–JaaskaNecas–Kotkaniemi–SvechnikovOrlov–ChatfieldBurns–SlavinWalker–SmithOrlov–WalkerSlavin–Walker
Kucherov–Guentzel–Point0:420.31–0.006:330.01–0.453:110.38–0.001:030.00–0.015:290.29–0.284:100.44–0.031:380.31–0.130:410.00–0.00
Paul–Eyssimont–Chaffee9:300.24–0.531:000.14–0.004:200.10–0.104:310.06–0.221:550.25–0.190:360.00–0.02
Cirelli–Hagel–Geekie1:240.00–0.003:570.66–0.031:510.00–0.031:030.00–0.103:260.65–0.133:310.01–0.011:150.00–0.02
Glendening–Girgensons–Goncalves0:340.00–0.033:520.02–0.000:360.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:250.00–0.003:430.01–0.03
Glendening–Cirelli–Hagel0:420.21–0.000:510.01–0.000:300.00–0.000:330.21–0.000:300.01–0.00
Kucherov–Girgensons–Point0:490.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Paul–Hagel–Geekie0:530.00–0.010:540.00–0.01
Hedman–Raddysh6:440.33–0.283:280.00–0.190:560.67–0.002:100.13–0.014:230.67–0.195:430.06–0.183:240.13–0.101:220.31–0.001:000.00–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak0:580.09–0.003:090.01–0.114:470.55–0.031:050.24–0.002:440.01–0.040:490.00–0.006:340.34–0.105:200.90–0.012:400.01–0.03
Perbix–Lilleberg2:580.12–0.292:310.16–0.172:010.03–0.003:390.04–0.391:110.00–0.021:040.00–0.104:330.22–0.193:480.01–0.443:430.13–0.160:360.00–0.130:490.00–0.02
McDonagh–Perbix0:330.00–0.010:580.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGeekie FHagel FCirelli FPaul FChaffee FEyssimont FGuentzel FKucherov FPoint FGirgensons FGlendening FGoncalves FMcDonagh DCernak DRaddysh DHedman DPerbix DLilleberg DVasilevskiy GAho FJarvis FRoslovic FSvechnikov FMartinook FStaal FKotkaniemi FRobinson FNecas FDrury FBlake FJaaska FBurns DSlavin DOrlov DChatfield DSmith DWalker DKochetkov G
TBLCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jaccob SlavinCAR2924:110:501:2358
Dmitry OrlovCAR2523:100:561:3021
Nikita KucherovTBL2422:500:572:4671
Victor HedmanTBL2722:370:502:0164
Brent BurnsCAR2820:520:451:2357
Brayden PointTBL2320:480:542:0681
Brandon HagelTBL2520:470:501:5545
Erik CernakTBL2720:070:451:3665
Ryan McDonaghTBL2619:590:461:3764
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2319:550:521:2931
Darren RaddyshTBL2719:150:431:2833
Jake GuentzelTBL2319:100:502:0881
Sebastian AhoCAR2318:350:481:2443
Seth JarvisCAR2318:210:481:4243
Jordan MartinookCAR2016:440:501:4737
Sean WalkerCAR2116:350:471:2036
Jordan StaalCAR2016:240:491:4436
Andrei SvechnikovCAR2116:230:471:2945
Nick PerbixTBL2116:220:471:2432
Anthony CirelliTBL2116:170:472:0415
Emil LillebergTBL2116:110:461:1422
Martin NecasCAR2015:550:481:2411
Nick PaulTBL2215:520:431:3134
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL2014:210:431:2632
Michael EyssimontTBL2013:390:411:2924
Ty SmithCAR1913:310:431:2552
Eric RobinsonCAR1913:190:421:1511
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR2013:150:401:2711
Jackson BlakeCAR1612:400:481:1521
Jack RoslovicCAR1612:260:472:0133
Jack DruryCAR1612:030:451:2122
Conor GeekieTBL1811:450:391:3111
Juha JaaskaCAR1310:290:481:0922
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL1610:140:380:5934
Luke GlendeningTBL1810:030:340:5738
Gage GoncalvesTBL127:430:390:5642