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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 17, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Vegas Golden Knights 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Away

Vegas Golden Knights

3

Final

Home

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.

TBL winsVGK wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:55Shot by Guentzel, saved by Hill
  3. P1 1:15Shot by Guentzel, saved by Hill
  4. P1 5:26Goal by McNabb (Stone, Eichel)+15 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Paul, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · VGK McNabb, Stone, Barbashev, Eichel, Whitecloud

  5. P1 6:05Shot by Lilleberg, saved by Hill
  6. P1 7:45Shot by McNabb, saved by Vasilevskiy
  7. P1 8:42Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  8. P1 8:45Shot by Hertl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  9. P1 10:05Shot by Holtz, saved by Vasilevskiy
  10. P1 10:21Goal by Moser (Atkinson, Lilleberg)+16 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Eyssimont, Moser, Lilleberg, Geekie · VGK Hanifin, Roy, Howden, Hague, Holtz

  11. P1 12:36Shot by Hertl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  12. P1 13:01Shot by Moser, saved by Hill
  13. P1 13:13Shot by Schwindt, saved by Vasilevskiy
  14. P1 14:06Geekie: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Girgensons, Raddysh, Chaffee, Lilleberg, Geekie · VGK McNabb, Theodore, Roy, Howden, Whitecloud

  15. P1 14:26Shot by Eichel, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  16. P1 15:03Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  17. P1 15:20Goal by Dorofeyev (Theodore, Eichel)4v5+17 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Glendening, Girgensons, Cernak · VGK Stone, Hertl, Theodore, Eichel, Dorofeyev

  18. P1 17:45Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hill
  19. P1 18:24Shot by Paul, saved by Hill
  20. P1 19:47Goal by Kucherov (Guentzel)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Moser · VGK Pietrangelo, Pearson, Hertl, Theodore, Dorofeyev

  21. P1 19:58Shot by Cirelli, saved by Hill
  22. P1 0:00Period end
  23. P2 0:00Period start
  24. P2 1:44Shot by Paul, saved by Hill
  25. P2 1:59Goal by Barbashev (Theodore)+20 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Guentzel, Paul, Cirelli, Moser · VGK Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel, Hague, Dorofeyev

  26. P2 2:28Shot by Point, saved by Hill
  27. P2 3:13Shot by Holtz, saved by Vasilevskiy
  28. P2 3:34Shot by Theodore, saved by Vasilevskiy
  29. P2 3:53Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  30. P2 4:05Shot by Hertl, saved by Vasilevskiy
  31. P2 6:16Shot by Pearson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  32. P2 8:27Shot by Brisson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  33. P2 9:16Eyssimont: Slashing (2 min)5v6

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Paul, Cernak, Eyssimont, Geekie · VGK Pietrangelo, Stone, Hertl, Theodore, Barbashev, Eichel

  34. P2 11:20Shot by Holtz, saved by Vasilevskiy
  35. P2 12:27Shot by Hanifin, saved by Vasilevskiy
  36. P2 12:58Shot by Moser, saved by Hill
  37. P2 13:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hill
  38. P2 13:02Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hill
  39. P2 16:24Shot by Theodore, saved by Vasilevskiy
  40. P2 17:47Whitecloud: Slashing (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Moser · VGK McNabb, Whitecloud, Schwindt, Holtz, Brisson

  41. P2 18:12Shot by Point, saved by Hill5v4
  42. P2 18:37Brisson: Too many men on the ice (2 min)5v4

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Raddysh · VGK Pietrangelo, Stone, Hanifin, Eichel

  43. P2 19:25Shot by Guentzel, saved by Hill5v3
  44. P2 19:28Shot by Point, saved by Hill5v3
  45. P2 19:44Shot by Hedman, saved by Hill5v3
  46. P2 0:00Period end5v4
  47. P3 0:00Period start
  48. P3 0:03Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Vasilevskiy5v4
  49. P3 0:46Shot by Pearson, saved by Vasilevskiy
  50. P3 1:08Geekie: Hooking (2 min)

    On ice: TBL Atkinson, Eyssimont, Moser, Lilleberg, Geekie · VGK Pearson, Hertl, Hanifin, Hague, Dorofeyev

  51. P3 2:34Shot by Theodore, saved by Vasilevskiy4v5
  52. P3 4:37Shot by Girgensons, saved by Hill
  53. P3 6:05Shot by Pietrangelo, saved by Vasilevskiy
  54. P3 6:49Shot by Dorofeyev, saved by Vasilevskiy
  55. P3 7:00Shot by Atkinson, saved by Hill
  56. P3 7:09Shot by Hedman, saved by Hill
  57. P3 16:22Shot by Hedman, saved by Hill
  58. P3 17:38Goal by Hagel (Chaffee, Moser)+46 pts WP

    On ice: TBL McDonagh, Paul, Hagel, Chaffee, Moser · VGK Pietrangelo, Pearson, Hertl, Theodore, Dorofeyev

  59. P3 19:01Shot by Kucherov, saved by Hill
  60. P3 19:05Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Moser)+42 pts WP

    On ice: TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Guentzel, Point, Moser · VGK Hanifin, Kolesar, Roy, Howden, Hague

  61. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  62. P3 0:00Final5v6