Thu, Oct 17, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Vegas Golden Knights 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.
67%
19%
TBL winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 23:13 | 0.08 | 36.2% | +37.4 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.09 | 38.0% | +31.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:13 | 0.00 | 31.7% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:54 | 0.09 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:01 | 0.16 | 71.9% | +14.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 19:39 | 0.65 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 19:12 | 0.00 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 18:03 | 0.47 | 43.8% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:22 | 0.01 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:16 | 0.40 | 39.4% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:03 | 0.00 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:11 | 0.05 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.00 | 28.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 13:16 | 0.00 | 25.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.00 | 22.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 11:31 | 0.16 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:05 | 0.07 | 68.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.08 | 76.7% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 3.80 | −0.2 | 58:43 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:35 | 0.26 | 62.4% | +41.9 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 6 | 23:06 | 0.96 | 67.7% | +61.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:53 | 0.08 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:04 | 0.00 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 21:00 | 1.11 | 68.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:43 | 0.32 | 65.6% | +19.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 20:27 | 0.18 | 67.1% | +104.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.05 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.20 | 63.2% | +45.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:12 | 0.12 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:52 | 0.26 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:49 | 0.03 | 61.7% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:51 | 0.09 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 11:31 | 0.00 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:00 | 0.03 | 78.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:49 | 0.00 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:11 | 0.10 | 49.2% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:08 | 0.00 | 84.5% | +45.8 |
| W | 25 | 22 | 3 | .880 | 2.33 | −0.7 | 60:00 |