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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 17, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Vegas Golden Knights 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 75% of the time.

TBL winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stone–Barbashev–EichelPearson–Hertl–DorofeyevKolesar–Roy–HowdenSchwindt–Holtz–BrissonPearson–Kolesar–HowdenMcNabb–WhitecloudPietrangelo–TheodoreHanifin–HagueTheodore–Whitecloud
Kucherov–Guentzel–Point9:250.92–0.512:510.16–0.000:300.00–0.000:470.00–0.004:300.06–0.003:540.64–0.355:060.76–0.271:000.05–0.00
Paul–Cirelli–Hagel9:320.49–0.352:180.04–0.325:520.44–0.041:470.07–0.00
Atkinson–Eyssimont–Geekie0:470.00–0.000:510.00–0.004:420.04–0.064:100.04–0.031:080.00–0.002:040.10–0.04
Glendening–Girgensons–Chaffee5:390.09–0.000:570.03–0.002:440.03–0.003:310.09–0.00
Atkinson–Guentzel–Geekie
Hedman–Moser2:460.56–0.206:260.80–0.233:060.16–0.001:250.03–0.086:030.09–0.282:590.70–0.085:010.87–0.230:400.05–0.00
McDonagh–Cernak7:440.29–0.041:340.12–0.141:090.00–0.001:020.00–0.071:500.02–0.008:270.38–0.272:020.07–0.00
Raddysh–Lilleberg0:440.00–0.003:430.09–0.004:120.04–0.030:530.00–0.015:500.04–0.041:230.00–0.033:230.09–0.17
McDonagh–Raddysh0:330.00–0.140:420.00–0.001:130.00–0.00
Hedman–Raddysh0:450.00–0.001:020.00–0.00
McDonagh–Moser0:550.06–0.000:310.00–0.000:350.06–0.000:330.00–0.00
Hedman–Cernak0:320.00–0.120:450.00–0.12
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGlendening FGirgensons FChaffee FHagel FCirelli FPaul FPoint FGuentzel FKucherov FGeekie FAtkinson FEyssimont FRaddysh DLilleberg DHedman DMoser DMcDonagh DCernak DVasilevskiy GRoy FHowden FKolesar FHertl FPearson FDorofeyev FEichel FBarbashev FStone FBrisson FHoltz FSchwindt FHague DHanifin DPietrangelo DTheodore DMcNabb DWhitecloud DHill G
TBLVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL3024:350:492:4213
Shea TheodoreVGK2223:131:032:4844
Nikita KucherovTBL2423:060:582:4232
Ryan McDonaghTBL2722:530:511:3843
Jack EichelVGK2422:360:572:2045
Mark StoneVGK2421:130:532:2945
Erik CernakTBL2521:040:512:0143
Brayden PointTBL2421:000:532:4232
Alex PietrangeloVGK2420:540:521:4535
Jake GuentzelTBL2420:430:521:4021
J.J. MoserTBL2920:270:421:2614
Brayden McNabbVGK2320:010:522:0614
Tomas HertlVGK2219:390:542:1041
Zach WhitecloudVGK2119:120:552:3413
Darren RaddyshTBL1918:200:582:1321
Pavel DorofeyevVGK2118:030:521:5160
Noah HanifinVGK2517:220:421:1721
Ivan BarbashevVGK2116:160:461:1724
Brandon HagelTBL2216:150:441:1141
Anthony CirelliTBL2115:120:431:1741
Nicolas HagueVGK2215:030:411:1721
Nick PaulTBL2114:520:421:3751
Tanner PearsonVGK1914:110:451:2620
Brett HowdenVGK1813:420:461:1412
Nicolas RoyVGK1813:160:441:1113
Keegan KolesarVGK1813:140:441:1012
Emil LillebergTBL1912:490:401:0212
Luke GlendeningTBL1511:510:471:3114
Conor GeekieTBL1611:310:431:2302
Alexander HoltzVGK1511:310:461:1610
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL1611:000:411:2713
Michael EyssimontTBL1510:490:431:1702
Cam AtkinsonTBL149:110:391:0502
Mitchell ChaffeeTBL139:080:421:0511
Brendan BrissonVGK149:050:391:0510
Cole SchwindtVGK128:460:441:0510