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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 17, 2024·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Buffalo Sabres 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 60% of the time.

CBJ winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tuch–Thompson–PeterkaZucker–Greenway–McLeodCozens–Kulich–BensonLafferty–Malenstyn–KrebsCozens–Peterka–KulichThompson–Krebs–PeterkaJokiharju–DahlinByram–PowerDahlin–PowerClifton–SamuelssonJokiharju–ByramDahlin–Byram
Monahan–Marchenko–Chinakhov6:440.63–0.020:590.00–0.011:510.00–0.070:450.00–0.071:510.00–0.084:090.27–0.022:330.23–0.003:360.17–0.07
Danforth–Pyyhtia–Sillinger2:070.00–0.031:250.00–0.002:150.00–0.010:390.00–0.001:060.00–0.121:240.00–0.001:010.00–0.003:120.00–0.151:420.00–0.01
Kuraly–Olivier–Aston-Reese2:110.12–0.171:100.00–0.001:190.00–0.001:000.09–0.001:020.03–0.17
van Riemsdyk–Johnson–Fantilli0:450.00–0.101:510.00–0.000:460.00–0.001:470.00–0.101:000.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Olivier–Aston-Reese–Fantilli1:320.11–0.211:170.11–0.000:350.00–0.210:460.00–0.00
Kuraly–Olivier–Fantilli0:560.00–0.071:500.00–0.07
Danforth–Pyyhtia–Fantilli0:440.09–0.000:360.00–0.000:370.09–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Olivier–Fantilli0:450.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:430.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Danforth–Fantilli0:440.07–0.130:440.07–0.13
Werenski–Provorov7:340.39–0.052:240.16–0.131:070.00–0.070:510.00–0.101:260.00–0.003:450.28–0.023:090.00–0.131:240.07–0.202:340.17–0.000:490.03–0.02
Severson–Christiansen1:010.16–0.105:010.11–0.223:530.12–0.000:330.14–0.003:260.00–0.111:390.09–0.001:180.27–0.002:300.17–0.213:120.00–0.00
Johnson–Harris0:540.00–0.001:590.00–0.084:340.00–0.071:540.00–0.070:440.00–0.002:190.08–0.002:110.00–0.000:530.00–0.08
Provorov–Harris0:400.00–0.000:490.00–0.001:060.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Severson–Harris1:010.00–0.000:340.00–0.170:330.00–0.00
Johnson–Werenski0:300.00–0.001:030.00–0.000:400.08–0.00
Severson–Provorov0:460.00–0.040:430.00–0.04
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndFantilli Fvan Riemsdyk FJohnson FMonahan FChinakhov FMarchenko FSillinger FDanforth FPyyhtia FKuraly FAston-Reese FOlivier FChristiansen DSeverson DWerenski DProvorov DHarris DJohnson DTarasov GGreenway FZucker FMcLeod FThompson FPeterka FTuch FBenson FKulich FCozens FLafferty FMalenstyn FKrebs FJokiharju DDahlin DByram DPower DSamuelsson DClifton DLevi G
CBJBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3026:510:542:0365
Zach WerenskiCBJ2724:030:532:4047
Ivan ProvorovCBJ2523:300:562:2434
Sean MonahanCBJ2722:290:501:5455
Damon SeversonCBJ2721:390:481:4415
Owen PowerBUF2621:390:501:3546
Bowen ByramBUF2721:240:481:4173
JJ PeterkaBUF2420:510:522:5782
Tage ThompsonBUF2420:420:522:0872
Henri JokiharjuBUF2920:110:421:3952
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ2219:580:541:3753
Egor ChinakhovCBJ2319:480:521:3063
Adam FantilliCBJ2417:490:451:2031
Alex TuchBUF2417:420:441:2763
Jack JohnsonCBJ2016:590:511:5333
Ryan McLeodBUF2416:540:421:4345
Dylan CozensBUF2216:470:462:2753
Jason ZuckerBUF2316:430:441:2853
Justin DanforthCBJ2316:380:431:0143
Jordan HarrisCBJ1716:290:581:3330
Cole SillingerCBJ2016:050:481:2835
Jake ChristiansenCBJ1915:260:491:4514
Jordan GreenwayBUF2314:460:391:0625
Jiri KulichBUF2114:450:421:0962
Zach BensonBUF2014:370:441:0942
Mathieu OlivierCBJ2014:340:441:3101
Mattias SamuelssonBUF1713:560:491:5804
Mikael PyyhtiaCBJ1913:240:421:1044
Connor CliftonBUF1711:330:412:0004
Zachary Aston-ReeseCBJ1710:550:390:5811
Sean KuralyCBJ1310:420:491:2501
Peyton KrebsBUF139:570:461:2003
Sam LaffertyBUF159:370:381:0303
James van RiemsdykCBJ129:150:461:0310
Beck MalenstynBUF118:590:491:3102
Kent JohnsonCBJ86:260:481:0621