Tue, Oct 22, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 80% of the time.
74%
14%
BUF winsDAL wins
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 7 | 26:23 | 0.23 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:31 | 0.04 | 67.4% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 21:19 | 0.22 | 51.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.08 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:19 | 0.38 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 18:19 | 0.38 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:10 | 0.02 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:47 | 0.51 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:08 | 0.00 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 16:05 | 0.13 | 27.1% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.34 | 41.6% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.07 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.02 | 35.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:08 | 0.07 | 85.1% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.01 | 55.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.07 | 50.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:31 | 0.11 | 55.5% | +5.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.04 | 30.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.38 | −0.6 | 54:30 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 5 | 23:39 | 0.29 | 54.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.01 | 55.2% | +37.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:42 | 0.02 | 37.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:27 | 0.18 | 59.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.11 | 39.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:55 | 0.00 | 62.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.17 | 45.7% | +13.6 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 18:08 | 1.08 | 78.5% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:15 | 1.25 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 16:48 | 0.22 | 83.7% | +7.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.69 | 40.2% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.13 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:42 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:42 | 0.09 | 24.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:33 | 0.00 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:06 | 0.23 | 59.3% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:18 | 0.20 | 71.2% | +19.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:21 | 0.00 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 30 | 28 | 2 | .933 | 2.71 | +0.7 | 60:00 |