Tue, Oct 22, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Dallas Stars 2, Buffalo Sabres 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 80% of the time.
74%
14%
BUF winsDAL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against DAL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Duchene–Seguin–Marchment | Hintz–Robertson–Stankoven | Benn–Dadonov–Johnston | Blackwell–Steel–Bourque | Hintz–Robertson–Johnston | Benn–Steel–Stankoven | Dadonov–Blackwell–Bourque | Dadonov–Blackwell–Steel | Dumba–Heiskanen | Lyubushkin–Harley | Lindell–Lundkvist | Lindell–Lyubushkin | Lundkvist–Harley | Heiskanen–Harley | Dumba–Lindell | Heiskanen–Lundkvist | Lindell–Heiskanen | Dumba–Harley | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zucker–Greenway–McLeod | 1:180.14–0.00 | 3:210.06–0.15 | 1:190.17–0.04 | 3:120.05–0.18 | 5:100.26–0.26 | 1:210.00–0.04 | 1:110.17–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Tuch–Thompson–Peterka | 3:570.40–0.02 | 0:480.00–0.07 | 2:140.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.06 | 1:290.11–0.00 | 3:360.04–0.02 | 1:510.33–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.05 | 1:080.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Cozens–Quinn–Kulich | 1:330.15–0.06 | 2:160.02–0.21 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:060.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.01 | 3:030.14–0.02 | 0:350.02–0.00 | 2:170.04–0.17 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.09 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||||
| Lafferty–Malenstyn–Krebs | 0:310.00–0.08 | 0:480.11–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 1:150.00–0.01 | 0:460.00–0.07 | 0:490.02–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:160.02–0.08 | 1:040.11–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.06 | ||||||||
| Thompson–Peterka–Kulich | 1:020.08–0.00 | 1:470.08–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Dahlin | 3:070.12–0.19 | 1:260.18–0.15 | 2:220.00–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.06 | 1:100.00–0.00 | 1:300.23–0.08 | 3:480.00–0.06 | 2:520.06–0.06 | 0:520.00–0.07 | 0:390.00–0.06 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Clifton–Samuelsson | 2:210.31–0.08 | 1:340.11–0.00 | 0:430.00–0.07 | 1:380.00–0.04 | 1:060.05–0.00 | 1:250.00–0.03 | 2:090.05–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.15 | 3:540.42–0.06 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.01 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||
| Byram–Power | 1:480.07–0.02 | 1:290.32–0.00 | 0:500.02–0.21 | 1:270.17–0.00 | 1:110.00–0.18 | 1:080.02–0.01 | 4:500.03–0.20 | 2:010.08–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.40 | 1:110.17–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.11 | |||||||
| Dahlin–Power | 0:350.11–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.04 | 1:140.00–0.00 | 1:060.08–0.00 | 1:190.11–0.00 | 1:040.19–0.00 | 1:460.11–0.00 | 0:550.00–0.04 | ||||||||||
| Jokiharju–Byram | 0:530.09–0.00 | 0:520.00–0.07 | 0:530.09–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Samuelsson–Dahlin | 0:340.00–0.05 | 0:340.00–0.05 |
Every shift, one row per player.
BUFDALFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
| 27 | 26:23 | 0:59 | 1:54 | 3 | 4 | |
| 28 | 23:39 | 0:51 | 2:01 | 5 | 1 | |
| 28 | 22:31 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 4 | 4 | |
| 23 | 21:19 | 0:56 | 1:46 | 3 | 2 | |
| 24 | 21:16 | 0:53 | 2:00 | 3 | 1 | |
| 24 | 19:42 | 0:49 | 1:36 | 4 | 0 | |
| 22 | 19:27 | 0:53 | 1:40 | 3 | 2 | |
| 23 | 19:25 | 0:51 | 1:21 | 5 | 2 | |
| 24 | 19:19 | 0:48 | 1:20 | 5 | 2 | |
| 22 | 18:55 | 0:52 | 1:40 | 2 | 0 | |
| 24 | 18:55 | 0:47 | 1:54 | 1 | 3 | |
| 21 | 18:35 | 0:53 | 1:37 | 2 | 2 | |
| 21 | 18:19 | 0:52 | 1:31 | 3 | 2 | |
| 23 | 18:08 | 0:47 | 1:38 | 3 | 1 | |
| 21 | 17:15 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 5 | 4 | |
| 19 | 17:10 | 0:54 | 1:54 | 1 | 5 | |
| 21 | 16:48 | 0:48 | 1:17 | 4 | 2 | |
| 24 | 16:47 | 0:42 | 1:20 | 4 | 4 | |
| 18 | 16:32 | 0:55 | 2:11 | 3 | 2 | |
| 22 | 16:08 | 0:44 | 1:06 | 4 | 2 | |
| 21 | 16:06 | 0:46 | 1:17 | 4 | 1 | |
| 23 | 16:05 | 0:42 | 1:13 | 3 | 5 | |
| 23 | 15:57 | 0:42 | 1:23 | 4 | 4 | |
| 22 | 15:42 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 0 | 3 | |
| 19 | 15:39 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 1 | 1 | |
| 20 | 14:28 | 0:43 | 1:46 | 0 | 1 | |
| 20 | 14:08 | 0:42 | 1:02 | 3 | 1 | |
| 18 | 13:42 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 6 | 0 | |
| 16 | 13:33 | 0:51 | 1:29 | 5 | 1 | |
| 18 | 13:03 | 0:44 | 1:32 | 1 | 1 | |
| 16 | 12:56 | 0:49 | 1:22 | 1 | 4 | |
| 17 | 12:31 | 0:44 | 1:18 | 3 | 2 | |
| 16 | 11:22 | 0:43 | 1:15 | 1 | 4 | |
| 19 | 10:06 | 0:32 | 1:03 | 2 | 3 | |
| 14 | 8:18 | 0:36 | 1:00 | 1 | 2 | |
| 12 | 7:21 | 0:37 | 0:57 | 1 | 2 |