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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 24, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

St. Louis Blues 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 75% of the time.

TOR winsSTL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against STL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Buchnevich–Kyrou–TexierSchenn–Saad–NeighboursKapanen–Joseph–HollowayFaksa–Sundqvist–ToropchenkoFaksa–Toropchenko–NeighboursSuter–ParaykoFaulk–BrobergJoseph–Perunovich
Reaves–Kampf–Holmberg1:020.03–0.041:290.15–0.051:070.00–0.013:270.05–0.001:290.12–0.003:380.08–0.042:430.27–0.012:010.00–0.04
Domi–Nylander–McMann1:380.06–0.061:230.00–0.031:360.05–0.004:350.07–0.041:320.00–0.06
Marner–Matthews–Knies5:350.01–0.272:500.12–0.242:570.04–0.02
Tavares–Lorentz–Robertson0:350.00–0.032:320.19–0.141:500.19–0.021:090.00–0.002:230.33–0.052:120.05–0.14
Domi–Lorentz–Robertson1:380.04–0.001:280.08–0.000:510.04–0.002:320.08–0.00
Marner–Matthews–McMann1:050.00–0.040:530.00–0.040:550.00–0.00
Tavares–Nylander–Knies0:440.00–0.070:360.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:530.08–0.00
Nylander–Marner–Matthews0:490.00–0.160:580.13–0.16
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly1:330.09–0.294:340.35–0.121:590.17–0.021:530.00–0.004:590.18–0.174:150.43–0.051:350.01–0.00
Tanev–McCabe6:190.18–0.250:420.17–0.071:510.00–0.031:030.07–0.001:110.07–0.005:400.19–0.243:200.25–0.011:580.04–0.00
Timmins–Benoit0:430.00–0.002:390.09–0.362:220.10–0.012:570.06–0.002:050.01–0.164:200.08–0.073:170.12–0.15
Tanev–Rielly0:410.15–0.001:110.15–0.000:510.00–0.02
Ekman-Larsson–McCabe0:340.00–0.000:430.00–0.030:490.04–0.000:450.00–0.00
McCabe–Benoit0:530.03–0.040:430.00–0.04
McCabe–Timmins0:400.00–0.041:090.00–0.04
Tanev–Benoit0:460.04–0.000:400.04–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndDomi FMcMann FNylander FMatthews FMarner FKnies FTavares FRobertson FLorentz FKampf FHolmberg FReaves FTanev DRielly DEkman-Larsson DMcCabe DBenoit DTimmins DWoll GSchenn FJoseph FHolloway FTexier FBuchnevich FKyrou FSaad FNeighbours FFaksa FSundqvist FToropchenko FKapanen FSuter DParayko DFaulk DBroberg DPerunovich DJoseph DBinnington G
TORSTLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Colton ParaykoSTL2826:580:582:1619
Ryan SuterSTL2925:400:531:34210
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2822:410:491:4650
Justin FaulkSTL2622:060:511:3422
Morgan RiellyTOR3221:570:411:2062
Philip BrobergSTL2521:170:511:3222
Auston MatthewsTOR2320:200:532:0476
Mitch MarnerTOR2219:460:541:4995
William NylanderTOR2518:550:451:3282
Jake McCabeTOR2818:430:401:1065
Chris TanevTOR2718:230:411:1748
Dylan HollowaySTL2217:200:471:2132
Max DomiTOR2117:160:491:2911
Nick RobertsonTOR2317:070:451:0821
John TavaresTOR1916:370:521:4941
Alexandre TexierSTL1915:550:501:2863
Brayden SchennSTL2515:520:381:0929
Jordan KyrouSTL1915:510:501:2653
Jake NeighboursSTL2015:290:461:4823
Simon BenoitTOR2415:270:391:0404
Pavel BuchnevichSTL1915:180:481:1455
Conor TimminsTOR2415:140:381:0413
Bobby McMannTOR1815:040:501:3131
Matthew KniesTOR1814:220:481:1434
Mathieu JosephSTL2014:030:421:0822
Brandon SaadSTL2013:530:421:4235
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1813:440:461:1311
Radek FaksaSTL1813:170:441:0811
Steven LorentzTOR1812:130:411:1311
Oskar SundqvistSTL2111:490:341:0436
David KampfTOR1611:410:441:0602
Pontus HolmbergTOR1611:380:441:0701
Pierre-Olivier JosephSTL1611:310:431:3713
Scott PerunovichSTL1611:000:411:3921
Ryan ReavesTOR149:460:420:5600
Kasperi KapanenSTL148:570:381:0422