Thu, Oct 24, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Minnesota Wild 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Minnesota Wild win this game 83% of the time.
11%
77%
TBL winsMIN wins
Minnesota Wild
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 26:11 | 0.02 | 11.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 23:33 | 0.01 | 66.3% | +17.7 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 22:08 | 1.64 | 35.0% | +51.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 21:54 | 0.03 | 18.2% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 20:27 | 0.02 | 67.2% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.05 | 29.0% | +28.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 18:30 | 0.53 | 50.2% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:18 | 0.12 | 38.0% | +17.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17:02 | 0.44 | 55.3% | +50.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.00 | 17.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.02 | 16.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:16 | 0.66 | 12.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:57 | 0.04 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:23 | 0.00 | 11.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:51 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.00 | 0.0% | +4.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:57 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:51 | 0.03 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 26 | 24 | 2 | .923 | 1.79 | −0.2 | 60:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 23:05 | 0.21 | 61.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:58 | 0.06 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:26 | 0.05 | 71.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.09 | 73.7% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.07 | 40.6% | +23.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 20:43 | 0.25 | 59.4% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 19:59 | 0.00 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:02 | 0.03 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 17:57 | 0.13 | 56.1% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:25 | 0.00 | 92.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.06 | 91.6% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:33 | 0.08 | 54.7% | +19.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:02 | 0.00 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.18 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:26 | 0.36 | 76.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:42 | 0.07 | 83.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:33 | 0.07 | 88.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:41 | 0.07 | 87.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 17 | 14 | 3 | .824 | 1.44 | −1.6 | 58:56 |