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Ice Lab

Thu, Oct 31, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Seattle Kraken 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 90% of the time.

TOR winsSEA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against SEA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Eberle–McCann–BeniersGourde–Tanev–KartyeStephenson–Burakovsky–TolvanenSchwartz–Bjorkstrand–WrightBjorkstrand–Tolvanen–WrightSchwartz–Stephenson–BurakovskySchwartz–Stephenson–BjorkstrandEberle–Schwartz–BeniersEberle–Stephenson–McCannLarsson–EvansOleksiak–BorgenMahura–FleuryLarsson–MahuraBorgen–MahuraOleksiak–FleuryBorgen–Evans
Marner–Matthews–Knies5:540.00–0.041:160.01–0.010:590.07–0.000:500.01–0.110:450.00–0.007:100.01–0.134:050.28–0.03
Pacioretty–Tavares–Nylander1:550.79–0.073:150.00–0.021:130.00–0.050:580.01–0.000:580.00–0.003:560.66–0.023:130.15–0.121:310.02–0.000:520.00–0.00
Domi–Robertson–McMann0:430.06–0.002:010.02–0.000:330.00–0.082:110.00–0.110:430.10–0.000:410.00–0.002:230.10–0.005:100.08–0.18
Lorentz–Kampf–Holmberg0:510.08–0.001:050.09–0.001:140.01–0.010:300.00–0.032:410.18–0.030:410.00–0.00
Lorentz–Kampf–Robertson1:230.01–0.001:190.01–0.00
Domi–Holmberg–McMann1:090.03–0.110:360.00–0.00
Tavares–Nylander–McMann0:360.00–0.000:360.00–0.00
Marner–Lorentz–Matthews0:490.00–0.010:340.00–0.05
Kampf–Robertson–McMann0:390.00–0.090:450.00–0.09
Tanev–McCabe4:550.64–0.042:490.01–0.001:450.00–0.001:340.01–0.091:080.01–0.010:450.00–0.006:020.65–0.033:190.00–0.023:120.02–0.090:350.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Rielly2:410.10–0.073:020.08–0.041:360.07–0.000:490.09–0.002:150.11–0.011:260.00–0.044:370.11–0.024:070.29–0.302:510.25–0.050:310.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Timmins–Benoit0:340.00–0.000:590.02–0.001:190.00–0.051:390.00–0.291:330.00–0.111:040.00–0.030:410.00–0.002:520.00–0.114:480.02–0.342:120.02–0.030:330.00–0.00
McCabe–Timmins0:530.04–0.000:440.00–0.001:090.02–0.000:360.04–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Timmins0:500.00–0.00
Rielly–Timmins0:310.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarner FKnies FMatthews FPacioretty FNylander FTavares FMcMann FDomi FHolmberg FRobertson FKampf FLorentz FTanev DMcCabe DRielly DEkman-Larsson DBenoit DTimmins DWoll GEberle FBeniers FMcCann FStephenson FTolvanen FBurakovsky FBjorkstrand FSchwartz FWright FKartye FTanev FGourde FBorgen DOleksiak DLarsson DEvans DMahura DFleury DDaccord G
TORSEAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Ryker EvansSEA2425:311:042:4736
Jake McCabeTOR3123:370:461:4474
Adam LarssonSEA2321:390:561:5137
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2421:290:542:1652
Morgan RiellyTOR2520:480:502:1362
Mitch MarnerTOR2120:460:591:5744
Jamie OleksiakSEA2220:010:551:5115
Auston MatthewsTOR2219:500:542:0834
Chris TanevTOR3019:420:391:4534
Will BorgenSEA2319:100:501:2215
Jared McCannSEA2218:370:511:5536
Chandler StephensonSEA2018:310:561:5035
Matthew KniesTOR2318:300:482:0632
Jordan EberleSEA2117:590:511:5655
Jaden SchwartzSEA1717:491:033:0931
William NylanderTOR2117:340:501:2442
Conor TimminsTOR2317:310:461:1224
Matty BeniersSEA2016:550:511:5954
Oliver BjorkstrandSEA1716:460:591:4521
Yanni GourdeSEA1815:190:511:2714
John TavaresTOR1815:010:501:2042
Bobby McMannTOR1614:540:561:5251
Eeli TolvanenSEA1714:430:521:5843
Max PaciorettyTOR1714:220:511:3231
Brandon TanevSEA1614:200:541:5305
Max DomiTOR1614:070:532:0352
Simon BenoitTOR2313:350:351:1614
Andre BurakovskySEA1713:300:481:2225
Shane WrightSEA1713:090:461:1921
Josh MahuraSEA1413:030:561:5610
David KampfTOR1612:430:481:2303
Cale FleurySEA1611:470:441:3020
Nick RobertsonTOR1411:360:501:4442
Tye KartyeSEA1310:440:501:0702
Steven LorentzTOR1410:050:431:2201
Pontus HolmbergTOR128:080:411:3310