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Ice Lab

Sat, Nov 2, 2024·Enterprise Center, St. Louis

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, St. Louis Blues 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.

STL winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

STL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pacioretty–Tavares–NylanderMarner–Matthews–KniesDomi–Holmberg–McMannReaves–Lorentz–KampfNylander–Marner–MatthewsEkman-Larsson–RiellyTanev–McCabeTimmins–BenoitMcCabe–BenoitMcCabe–TimminsRielly–TimminsTanev–BenoitEkman-Larsson–TimminsTanev–RiellyEkman-Larsson–TanevEkman-Larsson–BenoitRielly–Benoit
Schenn–Kyrou–Holloway5:470.12–0.690:420.00–0.001:070.00–0.002:370.01–0.102:180.13–0.091:120.11–0.001:550.09–0.000:390.00–0.41
Saad–Buchnevich–Neighbours0:480.02–0.036:200.12–0.210:330.00–0.003:170.10–0.002:420.02–0.080:350.00–0.00
Faksa–Toropchenko–Bolduc0:520.00–0.000:520.00–0.043:410.00–0.272:140.02–0.042:100.00–0.270:410.00–0.00
Sundqvist–Walker–Texier1:180.00–0.182:250.14–0.020:300.01–0.002:000.00–0.100:400.14–0.000:440.00–0.00
Kyrou–Texier–Holloway0:560.00–0.020:320.00–0.000:420.00–0.020:350.00–0.00
Faksa–Walker–Toropchenko0:390.00–0.000:340.00–0.001:040.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Faksa–Kyrou–Toropchenko0:390.00–0.00
Faksa–Sundqvist–Walker1:210.00–0.050:360.00–0.050:320.00–0.00
Suter–Parayko2:380.03–0.026:080.00–0.502:310.00–0.030:550.00–0.003:470.01–0.103:520.03–0.041:510.00–0.031:210.00–0.070:350.21–0.000:480.00–0.251:110.00–0.110:490.00–0.00
Faulk–Broberg4:170.03–0.632:100.05–0.020:350.00–0.053:260.08–0.001:580.02–0.120:420.00–0.410:370.00–0.05
Joseph–Kessel0:520.08–0.003:090.09–0.062:570.14–0.000:340.00–0.003:320.24–0.060:300.08–0.000:470.00–0.000:360.00–0.001:070.10–0.07
Faulk–Joseph1:400.00–0.110:370.00–0.001:490.00–0.02
Suter–Faulk0:370.00–0.181:000.00–0.000:390.00–0.180:430.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
Faulk–Kessel0:410.00–0.080:540.00–0.321:240.10–0.10
Parayko–Joseph0:300.00–0.000:450.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSaad FNeighbours FBuchnevich FKyrou FSchenn FHolloway FFaksa FToropchenko FBolduc FTexier FWalker FSundqvist FSuter DParayko DFaulk DBroberg DKessel DJoseph DBinnington GMarner FKnies FMatthews FTavares FNylander FPacioretty FDomi FHolmberg FMcMann FKampf FLorentz FReaves FTanev DMcCabe DRielly DEkman-Larsson DBenoit DTimmins DWoll G
STLTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Colton ParaykoSTL3127:580:541:4736
Ryan SuterSTL2926:290:551:5015
Justin FaulkSTL2724:130:541:5731
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2922:130:461:3444
Morgan RiellyTOR2721:440:481:3961
Jake McCabeTOR2721:120:472:1524
William NylanderTOR2120:190:582:1824
Jordan KyrouSTL2020:091:001:5740
Auston MatthewsTOR2320:030:521:4260
Mitch MarnerTOR2419:590:501:2260
Matthew KniesTOR2319:210:502:1352
John TavaresTOR2019:210:581:2612
Dylan HollowaySTL2218:440:512:0841
Brayden SchennSTL2518:360:451:4245
Radek FaksaSTL2317:220:451:4811
Conor TimminsTOR2517:070:411:2504
Chris TanevTOR2817:000:361:3825
Pavel BuchnevichSTL2016:480:503:0614
Max PaciorettyTOR1815:330:521:2434
Simon BenoitTOR2315:330:411:2604
Pierre-Olivier JosephSTL2215:180:421:1711
Brandon SaadSTL1914:410:461:1333
Bobby McMannTOR1514:070:561:3711
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL1913:500:441:3811
Jake NeighboursSTL1913:420:431:1632
Max DomiTOR1613:160:501:1622
Alexandre TexierSTL1512:440:511:2250
Matthew KesselSTL1811:520:401:1010
Pontus HolmbergTOR1411:300:491:2702
Oskar SundqvistSTL1610:460:401:3314
Philip BrobergSTL1210:170:511:1720
Zachary BolducSTL1210:000:501:1230
David KampfTOR159:490:391:2704
Nathan WalkerSTL138:520:410:5400
Steven LorentzTOR148:070:350:5201
Ryan ReavesTOR106:420:401:2500