Sat, Nov 9, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Montréal Canadiens 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 62% of the time.
52%
10%
9%
29%
TOR winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 24:09 | 0.08 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:37 | 0.15 | 76.3% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:29 | 0.09 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:00 | 0.20 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:36 | 0.01 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.16 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.05 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:56 | 0.04 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:39 | 0.06 | 44.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.06 | 70.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:20 | 0.16 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:11 | 0.24 | 89.3% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:58 | 0.36 | 77.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:51 | 0.06 | 68.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:50 | 0.07 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:02 | 0.15 | 68.7% | +6.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:19 | 0.08 | 74.1% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.59 | −1.4 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 22:59 | 0.55 | 20.8% | +13.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:46 | 0.00 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:14 | 0.16 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:08 | 0.04 | 29.8% | +11.3 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 20:38 | 0.50 | 68.8% | +17.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:21 | 0.02 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.00 | 19.0% | +11.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18:42 | 0.81 | 48.8% | +5.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:51 | 0.06 | 47.6% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 17:00 | 0.01 | 35.9% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:25 | 0.10 | 26.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 14:22 | 0.00 | 20.3% | +8.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:07 | 0.00 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:45 | 0.07 | 56.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.05 | 19.6% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:49 | 0.12 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:01 | 0.10 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:10 | 0.00 | 61.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 2.03 | +1.0 | 60:00 |