Mon, Nov 25, 2024·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Calgary Flames 3, Ottawa Senators 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 79% of the time.
72%
14%
OTT winsCGY wins
Calgary Flames
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 28:05 | 0.09 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:37 | 0.02 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:30 | 0.07 | 32.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 20:47 | 0.32 | 86.6% | +2.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 7 | 19:38 | 0.57 | 79.4% | +13.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:28 | 0.04 | 10.4% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.01 | 38.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:24 | 0.11 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 15:14 | 0.00 | 11.8% | +2.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:44 | 0.00 | 11.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.17 | 25.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:58 | 0.22 | 81.6% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 13:29 | 0.17 | 26.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 13:29 | 0.03 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:51 | 0.00 | 77.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:05 | 0.02 | 12.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:38 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 3.64 | −0.4 | 56:58 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 30:29 | 0.51 | 64.9% | +28.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:23 | 0.08 | 48.4% | +11.8 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 21:48 | 0.46 | 45.0% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 20:40 | 0.38 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:27 | 0.14 | 63.0% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.27 | 67.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:12 | 0.01 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 19:52 | 0.65 | 52.2% | +26.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:47 | 0.00 | 70.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:37 | 0.01 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 14:22 | 0.48 | 66.8% | +33.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:56 | 0.20 | 80.1% | +19.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 12:52 | 0.05 | 99.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:18 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:03 | 0.03 | 99.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:46 | 0.17 | 49.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:05 | 0.00 | 94.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 8:17 | 0.19 | 57.0% | +13.6 |
| W | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 1.86 | −1.1 | 59:45 |