Tue, Dec 3, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Florida Panthers 4, Pittsburgh Penguins 5 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 63% of the time.
26%
11%
10%
54%
PIT winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 5 | 24:44 | 0.10 | 68.0% | +29.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 24:29 | 0.06 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:42 | 0.11 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:28 | 0.09 | 81.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 7 | 20:23 | 0.57 | 75.9% | +56.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:55 | 0.26 | 72.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:18 | 0.09 | 74.3% | +12.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:17 | 0.33 | 54.6% | +3.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:03 | 0.08 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 17:19 | 0.06 | 58.5% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.24 | 56.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.03 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 14:09 | 0.09 | 52.3% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:36 | 0.00 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12:20 | 0.10 | 35.0% | +15.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:17 | 0.07 | 72.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 8:24 | 0.18 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:00 | 0.13 | 55.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 16 | 11 | 5 | .688 | 1.86 | −3.1 | 61:31 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 25:39 | 0.19 | 33.7% | +4.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 25:30 | 0.05 | 25.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:43 | 0.12 | 48.3% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.07 | 40.4% | +4.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:51 | 0.37 | 34.2% | +46.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.01 | 50.5% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19:48 | 0.13 | 33.4% | +4.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.18 | 59.7% | +57.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:15 | 0.37 | 61.7% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15:39 | 0.14 | 61.7% | +11.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 14:02 | 0.02 | 51.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:48 | 0.01 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 13:25 | 0.14 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.00 | 31.6% | +25.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:35 | 0.01 | 45.3% | +11.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:12 | 0.00 | 16.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:52 | 0.04 | 4.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 8:51 | 0.00 | 4.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 41 | 37 | 4 | .902 | 2.57 | −1.4 | 61:31 |