Fri, Dec 6, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Washington Capitals 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 73% of the time.
18%
9%
66%
TOR winsWSH wins
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:17 | 0.02 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:57 | 0.07 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 21:41 | 0.06 | 74.3% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 21:17 | 0.03 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 19:52 | 0.85 | 69.2% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:41 | 0.04 | 52.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19:29 | 0.28 | 61.6% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:20 | 0.25 | 63.8% | +35.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.09 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:15 | 0.34 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:03 | 0.02 | 36.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:21 | 0.85 | 56.3% | +4.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.08 | 57.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:11 | 0.23 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 11:54 | 0.15 | 64.5% | +24.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:53 | 0.00 | 73.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:29 | 0.00 | 30.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 7:56 | 0.03 | 45.4% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 20 | 1 | .952 | 2.04 | +1.0 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:54 | 0.32 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.17 | 20.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.01 | 53.3% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:20 | 0.12 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:20 | 0.52 | 71.7% | +24.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:40 | 0.10 | 60.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:34 | 0.05 | 27.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.03 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:01 | 0.05 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:41 | 0.41 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:30 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:15 | 0.12 | 75.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:47 | 0.00 | 28.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.01 | 32.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:35 | 0.04 | 21.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:15 | 0.10 | 29.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:52 | 0.00 | 3.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:22 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.62 | +0.6 | 59:26 |