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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 6, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Washington Capitals 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 73% of the time.

TOR winsWSH wins

Washington Capitals

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Jakob ChychrunD · #6000+1022:170.0264.0%0.0
John CarlsonD · #740000221:570.0748.5%0.0
Matt RoyD · #3011+2321:410.0674.3%+20.1
Rasmus SandinD · #38000+2021:170.0370.3%0.0
Connor McMichaelLW · #24101+1519:520.8569.2%+35.0
Dylan StromeC · #170000119:410.0452.6%0.0
Tom WilsonRW · #430110119:290.2861.6%+4.5
Pierre-Luc DuboisC · #80011+1217:200.2563.8%+35.0
Taylor RaddyshRW · #16000+1016:180.0961.4%0.0
Lars EllerC · #20000−1316:150.3457.1%0.0
Martin FehérváryD · #42000−1116:030.0236.6%0.0
Aliaksei ProtasLW · #21101+1315:210.8556.3%+4.5
Trevor van RiemsdykD · #570000115:060.0857.6%0.0
Andrew MangiapaneLW · #880000014:110.2379.5%0.0
Nic DowdC · #26112+2311:540.1564.5%+24.7
Hendrix LapierreC · #29000−109:530.0073.9%0.0
Brandon DuhaimeLW · #22000+109:290.0030.4%0.0
Ivan MiroshnichenkoLW · #63000+117:560.0345.4%0.0
Charlie Lindgren#79W21201.9522.04+1.060:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

William NylanderRW · #880000221:540.3262.3%0.0
Morgan RiellyD · #44000−2221:110.1720.5%0.0
Chris TanevD · #8011+1120:530.0153.3%+24.2
Auston MatthewsC · #34000−2220:200.1220.1%0.0
John TavaresC · #911010320:200.5271.7%+24.2
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #95000+1219:400.1060.9%0.0
Mitch MarnerRW · #16000−2219:340.0527.2%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #25000−2119:320.0340.3%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #2000−1219:010.0539.6%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23000−2218:410.4130.0%0.0
Philippe MyersD · #510000017:300.0032.7%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29000+1116:150.1275.8%0.0
Fraser MintenC · #39000−1011:470.0028.4%0.0
Connor DewarC · #240000110:520.0132.4%0.0
Nick RobertsonLW · #89000−109:350.0421.8%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #18000−109:150.1029.0%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000008:520.003.8%0.0
Nikita GrebenkinRW · #71000007:220.000.0%0.0
Anthony Stolarz#41L25232.9202.62+0.659:26