Fri, Dec 6, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Washington Capitals 3, Toronto Maple Leafs 1
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 73% of the time.
18%
9%
66%
TOR winsWSH wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Wilson–Strome–Protas | Raddysh–Dubois–McMichael | Eller–Mangiapane–Lapierre | Dowd–Duhaime–Miroshnichenko | Eller–Strome–Duhaime | Eller–Dowd–Duhaime | Strome–Raddysh–McMichael | Wilson–Strome–McMichael | Dowd–Wilson–Protas | Roy–Sandin | van Riemsdyk–Chychrun | Carlson–Chychrun | Carlson–Fehérváry | Roy–Fehérváry | van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry | van Riemsdyk–Sandin | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavares–Nylander–Holmberg | 4:080.07–0.11 | 4:010.28–0.10 | 0:490.04–0.00 | 0:540.12–0.00 | 3:280.00–0.10 | 1:040.12–0.00 | 1:070.05–0.03 | 3:290.39–0.02 | 1:560.04–0.10 | |||||||
| Marner–Matthews–Knies | 2:270.04–0.09 | 4:100.18–0.71 | 0:590.04–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.00 | 2:220.07–0.49 | 2:370.04–0.17 | 2:470.02–0.00 | 1:360.08–0.00 | 0:370.06–0.05 | |||||||
| Reaves–Dewar–Grebenkin | 4:160.00–0.28 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 2:160.00–0.25 | 1:470.00–0.02 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.01 | ||||||||||
| Lorentz–Robertson–Minten | 0:360.00–0.08 | 1:010.01–0.00 | 2:060.00–0.18 | 1:200.00–0.11 | 1:480.00–0.11 | 1:110.00–0.18 | 1:030.00–0.08 | 0:580.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Tavares–Nylander–Knies | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:420.10–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Lorentz–Holmberg–Minten | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Nylander–Matthews–Knies | ||||||||||||||||
| Marner–Matthews–Robertson | 0:390.00–0.20 | 0:390.00–0.20 | ||||||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Tanev | 4:380.09–0.17 | 2:440.11–0.03 | 1:190.04–0.00 | 1:030.00–0.07 | 0:550.10–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | 2:520.14–0.00 | 2:050.06–0.09 | 1:540.05–0.00 | 3:180.14–0.15 | 0:540.04–0.00 | 1:420.07–0.03 | ||||
| Rielly–Myers | 1:240.00–0.09 | 4:130.08–0.45 | 2:450.00–0.25 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | 5:550.00–0.52 | 0:460.00–0.09 | 0:440.00–0.02 | 2:180.08–0.00 | 1:080.00–0.01 | 0:410.00–0.10 | |||||
| Timmins–Benoit | 1:140.01–0.03 | 3:280.00–0.20 | 1:540.12–0.11 | 3:230.01–0.11 | 3:480.12–0.20 | 0:480.00–0.03 | ||||||||||
| Rielly–Timmins | 0:340.00–0.31 | 0:520.00–0.00 | 1:120.10–0.31 | 0:460.00–0.01 | 0:550.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Myers–Benoit | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:210.00–0.04 | 0:540.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Tanev–Benoit | 1:110.02–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.20 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 1:300.02–0.20 | ||||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Timmins | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Ekman-Larsson–Rielly | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TORWSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jakob ChychrunWSH | 21 | 22:17 | 1:04 | 1:54 | 6 | 3 |
 John CarlsonWSH | 24 | 21:57 | 0:55 | 1:57 | 3 | 4 |
 William NylanderTOR | 20 | 21:54 | 1:06 | 2:56 | 3 | 2 |
 Matt RoyWSH | 21 | 21:41 | 1:02 | 1:58 | 2 | 3 |
 Rasmus SandinWSH | 21 | 21:17 | 1:01 | 2:13 | 3 | 4 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 26 | 21:11 | 0:49 | 1:30 | 7 | 1 |
 Chris TanevTOR | 29 | 20:53 | 0:43 | 1:49 | 0 | 10 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 26 | 20:20 | 0:47 | 1:53 | 5 | 7 |
 John TavaresTOR | 20 | 20:20 | 1:01 | 2:14 | 3 | 3 |
 Connor McMichaelWSH | 22 | 19:52 | 0:54 | 1:32 | 5 | 6 |
 Dylan StromeWSH | 22 | 19:41 | 0:54 | 1:54 | 7 | 0 |
 Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR | 26 | 19:40 | 0:45 | 1:42 | 0 | 5 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 19:34 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 6 | 5 |
 Conor TimminsTOR | 25 | 19:32 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 3 | 3 |
 Tom WilsonWSH | 24 | 19:29 | 0:49 | 1:54 | 8 | 2 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 25 | 19:01 | 0:46 | 1:21 | 2 | 4 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 24 | 18:41 | 0:47 | 1:35 | 4 | 2 |
 Philippe MyersTOR | 21 | 17:30 | 0:50 | 1:50 | 3 | 1 |
 Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH | 23 | 17:20 | 0:45 | 1:12 | 3 | 7 |
 Taylor RaddyshWSH | 21 | 16:18 | 0:47 | 1:29 | 3 | 7 |
 Pontus HolmbergTOR | 20 | 16:15 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 2 | 3 |
 Lars EllerWSH | 21 | 16:15 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 3 | 1 |
 Martin FehérváryWSH | 20 | 16:03 | 0:48 | 1:33 | 1 | 2 |
 Aliaksei ProtasWSH | 22 | 15:21 | 0:42 | 1:08 | 7 | 1 |
 Trevor van RiemsdykWSH | 18 | 15:06 | 0:50 | 1:27 | 5 | 1 |
 Andrew MangiapaneWSH | 17 | 14:11 | 0:50 | 1:20 | 3 | 1 |
 Nic DowdWSH | 21 | 11:54 | 0:34 | 1:06 | 2 | 5 |
 Fraser MintenTOR | 14 | 11:47 | 0:51 | 1:12 | 2 | 1 |
 Connor DewarTOR | 15 | 10:52 | 0:43 | 1:07 | 0 | 2 |
 Hendrix LapierreWSH | 13 | 9:53 | 0:46 | 1:08 | 3 | 0 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 12 | 9:35 | 0:48 | 1:19 | 2 | 1 |
 Brandon DuhaimeWSH | 17 | 9:29 | 0:33 | 1:05 | 2 | 4 |
 Steven LorentzTOR | 13 | 9:15 | 0:43 | 1:01 | 2 | 1 |
 Ryan ReavesTOR | 10 | 8:52 | 0:53 | 1:19 | 0 | 2 |
 Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH | 15 | 7:56 | 0:32 | 1:02 | 1 | 4 |
 Nikita GrebenkinTOR | 9 | 7:22 | 0:49 | 1:11 | 0 | 1 |