Sat, Dec 7, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh
Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 60% of the time.
51%
9%
32%
PIT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 25:23 | 0.53 | 35.6% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 4 | 22:43 | 0.27 | 38.9% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:12 | 0.09 | 35.8% | +10.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.05 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:50 | 0.28 | 83.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:40 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:27 | 0.63 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 5 | 19:12 | 0.27 | 63.0% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.06 | 87.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:29 | 0.15 | 41.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:55 | 0.00 | 54.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:34 | 0.00 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:47 | 0.00 | 87.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:32 | 0.18 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:19 | 0.00 | 76.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:46 | 0.17 | 66.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:18 | 0.04 | 70.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:41 | 0.10 | 87.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 2.74 | −0.3 | 58:53 |
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 7 | 23:19 | 0.58 | 61.0% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 22:40 | 0.09 | 43.3% | +24.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 20:17 | 0.00 | 42.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:33 | 0.33 | 58.4% | +13.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:32 | 0.56 | 54.1% | +38.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:47 | 0.37 | 58.9% | +22.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 61.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:57 | 0.09 | 40.7% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:26 | 0.08 | 31.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:38 | 0.03 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:26 | 0.19 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:16 | 0.41 | 49.0% | +24.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 14:02 | 0.49 | 58.2% | +4.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:01 | 0.00 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:31 | 0.00 | 2.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:15 | 0.00 | 24.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.17 | 37.7% | +9.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8:01 | 0.00 | 26.9% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 25 | 2 | .926 | 2.83 | +0.8 | 59:31 |