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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 7, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 60% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mitch MarnerRW · #16112−2425:230.5335.6%+25.8
Auston MatthewsC · #34022−2422:430.2738.9%+25.8
Oliver Ekman-LarssonD · #950110121:120.0935.8%+10.8
Morgan RiellyD · #44000−2121:040.0560.6%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23000−2120:500.2883.8%0.0
Chris TanevD · #80000019:400.0039.4%0.0
John TavaresC · #91000−2419:270.6366.8%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88101−2519:120.2763.0%+15.0
Philippe MyersD · #510000218:220.0687.2%0.0
Simon BenoitD · #20000316:290.1541.6%0.0
Conor TimminsD · #250000015:550.0054.0%0.0
Max PaciorettyLW · #670000114:340.0041.3%0.0
Steven LorentzC · #180000010:470.0087.6%0.0
Fraser MintenC · #390000110:320.1876.0%0.0
Connor DewarC · #240000010:190.0076.2%0.0
Pontus HolmbergRW · #29000009:460.1766.8%0.0
Alex NylanderLW · #92000009:180.0470.9%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000007:410.1087.6%0.0
Joseph Woll#60L27243.8892.74−0.358:53

Pittsburgh Penguins

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Kris LetangD · #58101+3723:190.5861.0%+0.1
Erik KarlssonD · #65011−1322:400.0943.3%+24.8
Marcus PetterssonD · #28011+1120:170.0042.3%+0.1
Sidney CrosbyC · #870110319:330.3358.4%+13.2
Bryan RustRW · #171120319:320.5654.1%+38.0
Rickard RakellRW · #671120318:470.3758.9%+22.2
Owen PickeringD · #38000+1018:210.0061.3%0.0
Matt GrzelcykD · #240110117:570.0940.7%+9.0
Evgeni MalkinC · #710000017:260.0831.6%0.0
Cody GlassC · #190000115:380.0339.1%0.0
Drew O'ConnorLW · #10000+1215:260.1949.2%0.0
Michael BuntingLW · #81010315:160.4149.0%+24.8
Blake LizotteC · #46101+2214:020.4958.2%+4.4
Ryan GravesD · #270000014:010.0032.6%0.0
Noel AcciariC · #55000+1013:310.002.8%0.0
Jesse PuljujarviRW · #180000011:150.0024.3%0.0
Kevin HayesRW · #130110010:290.1737.7%+9.0
Anthony BeauvillierRW · #72000008:010.0026.9%0.0
Tristan Jarry#35W27252.9262.83+0.859:31