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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 7, 2024·PPG Paints Arena, Pittsburgh

Toronto Maple Leafs 2, Pittsburgh Penguins 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Pittsburgh Penguins win this game 60% of the time.

PIT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

PIT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Pacioretty–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Nylander–KniesNylander–Holmberg–MintenReaves–Lorentz–DewarMarner–Matthews–KniesNylander–Marner–MatthewsRielly–MyersEkman-Larsson–TanevTimmins–BenoitEkman-Larsson–TimminsEkman-Larsson–RiellyRielly–TimminsTanev–MyersRielly–Benoit
Crosby–Rust–Rakell9:100.76–0.821:170.00–0.002:230.00–0.406:180.49–0.382:170.10–0.000:440.00–0.000:310.38–0.00
Malkin–Glass–O'Connor6:230.03–0.110:390.00–0.025:250.04–0.181:320.00–0.001:180.00–0.01
Bunting–Puljujarvi–Lizotte0:440.00–0.010:350.00–0.003:070.10–0.171:350.00–0.001:370.00–0.002:540.00–0.042:420.10–0.180:360.07–0.00
Hayes–Beauvillier–Acciari2:240.00–0.142:080.00–0.092:580.00–0.141:180.00–0.001:010.00–0.09
Bunting–Acciari–Lizotte0:400.00–0.00
Karlsson–Pettersson4:180.20–0.532:580.03–0.251:000.00–0.062:160.00–0.081:200.07–0.025:070.03–0.465:570.37–0.340:400.00–0.01
Letang–Pickering3:160.52–0.063:490.00–0.001:240.00–0.140:320.00–0.001:330.00–0.005:510.01–0.072:080.09–0.003:030.02–0.180:450.00–0.001:010.00–0.06
Grzelcyk–Graves0:470.02–0.002:260.00–0.232:250.17–0.081:440.03–0.022:100.00–0.233:090.09–0.023:580.13–0.23
Letang–Grzelcyk1:390.26–0.210:420.00–0.210:300.05–0.000:300.21–0.00
Karlsson–Pickering0:580.00–0.041:300.00–0.04
Karlsson–Grzelcyk0:300.00–0.00
Letang–Graves0:420.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRust FRakell FCrosby FGlass FMalkin FO'Connor FBunting FPuljujarvi FLizotte FBeauvillier FHayes FAcciari FPettersson DKarlsson DPickering DLetang DGrzelcyk DGraves DJarry GMarner FMatthews FPacioretty FTavares FNylander FKnies FNylander FMinten FHolmberg FReaves FDewar FLorentz FTanev DEkman-Larsson DRielly DMyers DBenoit DTimmins DWoll G
PITTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mitch MarnerTOR2625:230:591:4753
Kris LetangPIT2623:190:542:2364
Auston MatthewsTOR2622:430:521:4743
Erik KarlssonPIT2722:400:501:3332
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR3121:120:411:2513
Morgan RiellyTOR2821:040:451:2953
Matthew KniesTOR2520:500:501:4745
Marcus PetterssonPIT2420:170:511:4715
Chris TanevTOR3119:400:381:1116
Sidney CrosbyPIT2419:330:492:2733
Bryan RustPIT2719:320:431:2144
John TavaresTOR2119:270:562:0645
William NylanderTOR2419:120:481:5744
Rickard RakellPIT2418:470:472:1933
Philippe MyersTOR2318:220:481:2833
Owen PickeringPIT2418:210:461:2125
Matt GrzelcykPIT2217:570:492:1811
Evgeni MalkinPIT2117:260:501:3152
Simon BenoitTOR2616:290:381:1213
Conor TimminsTOR2615:550:371:2714
Cody GlassPIT2115:380:451:2343
Drew O'ConnorPIT2215:260:421:3352
Michael BuntingPIT2015:160:461:1540
Max PaciorettyTOR2114:340:421:2322
Blake LizottePIT2114:020:401:0310
Ryan GravesPIT1914:010:441:1702
Noel AcciariPIT1913:310:431:1615
Jesse PuljujarviPIT1511:150:451:2310
Steven LorentzTOR1710:470:381:2202
Fraser MintenTOR1410:320:451:1110
Kevin HayesPIT1410:290:452:1432
Connor DewarTOR1610:190:391:0103
Pontus HolmbergTOR129:460:491:0911
Alex NylanderTOR149:180:401:0210
Anthony BeauvillierPIT118:010:440:5802
Ryan ReavesTOR127:410:381:0300