Sat, Dec 14, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington
Buffalo Sabres 2, Washington Capitals 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 78% of the time.
72%
16%
WSH winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 28:33 | 0.08 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 26:29 | 0.06 | 49.4% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.16 | 28.9% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:58 | 0.13 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.22 | 57.9% | +17.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:36 | 0.06 | 57.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17:52 | 0.00 | 51.2% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:51 | 0.17 | 30.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:31 | 0.07 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 15:33 | 0.47 | 54.9% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:51 | 0.09 | 48.8% | +13.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:45 | 0.54 | 49.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:32 | 0.22 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:30 | 0.09 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:15 | 0.22 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 11:37 | 0.00 | 59.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.03 | 24.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:46 | 0.00 | 31.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 30 | 27 | 3 | .900 | 3.14 | +0.1 | 57:18 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 23:59 | 0.18 | 77.3% | +52.2 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 5 | 22:27 | 0.69 | 48.2% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 20:29 | 0.03 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19:38 | 1.24 | 66.6% | +33.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:52 | 0.23 | 83.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:16 | 0.31 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 17:55 | 0.00 | 42.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:50 | 0.05 | 55.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 17:43 | 0.18 | 60.9% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:21 | 0.01 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:06 | 0.21 | 70.9% | +4.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 15:19 | 0.43 | 64.9% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 14:51 | 0.27 | 46.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:54 | 0.18 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11:44 | 0.21 | 65.3% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:25 | 0.25 | 47.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:41 | 0.02 | 38.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:30 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 2.62 | +0.6 | 60:00 |