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Ice Lab

Sat, Dec 14, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington

Buffalo Sabres 2, Washington Capitals 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 78% of the time.

WSH winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Zucker–Greenway–McLeodAube-Kubel–Malenstyn–KrebsThompson–Kulich–BensonCozens–Kulich–BensonTuch–Thompson–PeterkaTuch–Cozens–PeterkaTuch–Krebs–PeterkaSamuelsson–PowerByram–JohnsonClifton–GilbertByram–PowerGilbert–ByramJohnson–PowerClifton–ByramGilbert–Power
Wilson–Dubois–Protas1:200.00–0.000:430.00–0.002:460.00–0.003:160.23–0.021:340.01–0.070:440.00–0.004:580.02–0.001:200.22–0.001:120.00–0.001:350.00–0.000:490.00–0.070:330.00–0.020:340.00–0.00
Strome–Raddysh–McMichael2:380.16–0.022:570.19–0.110:460.00–0.130:360.03–0.000:360.13–0.030:430.00–0.000:460.00–0.174:460.39–0.281:130.13–0.021:340.29–0.000:460.00–0.131:050.00–0.00
Dowd–Duhaime–Miroshnichenko0:400.00–0.031:320.17–0.001:430.04–0.003:070.27–0.740:310.09–0.000:400.00–0.001:500.02–0.043:070.25–0.731:130.26–0.000:500.04–0.00
Eller–Mangiapane–Lapierre5:130.25–0.461:370.00–0.072:320.01–0.180:580.22–0.00
Eller–Dowd–Duhaime0:300.00–0.020:460.00–0.01
Eller–Dowd–Mangiapane0:550.23–0.000:530.23–0.00
Dubois–Duhaime–Miroshnichenko0:580.00–0.050:580.00–0.05
Roy–Sandin2:160.02–0.310:450.06–0.001:370.00–0.132:280.05–0.052:010.01–0.000:310.00–0.074:240.13–0.181:400.00–0.022:270.00–0.181:130.17–0.001:080.00–0.200:430.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry1:420.00–0.041:310.17–0.002:330.04–0.000:370.10–0.700:400.00–0.001:090.01–0.111:540.10–0.721:410.17–0.002:200.12–0.000:560.04–0.00
Carlson–Chychrun1:450.18–0.001:200.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:430.00–0.021:500.01–0.000:480.00–0.002:430.17–0.000:460.00–0.000:490.01–0.000:350.00–0.010:400.00–0.000:450.00–0.02
Carlson–Fehérváry1:310.22–0.000:410.00–0.091:090.22–0.001:100.00–0.041:210.31–0.031:100.22–0.00
Roy–Chychrun1:070.00–0.030:360.00–0.030:580.07–0.000:370.02–0.020:340.00–0.171:060.00–0.171:170.02–0.05
van Riemsdyk–Chychrun0:450.16–0.002:120.13–0.040:340.00–0.001:350.00–0.041:070.13–0.000:440.16–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Sandin0:450.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:480.00–0.00
Carlson–Sandin0:440.00–0.120:370.12–0.011:330.25–0.040:360.00–0.04
Roy–Fehérváry0:350.00–0.000:390.06–0.001:080.19–0.00
Carlson–van Riemsdyk0:350.00–0.000:350.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndRaddysh FStrome FMcMichael FProtas FWilson FDubois FLapierre FMangiapane FEller FDuhaime FDowd FMiroshnichenko FChychrun Dvan Riemsdyk DFehérváry DCarlson DRoy DSandin DThompson GKrebs FMalenstyn FAube-Kubel FThompson FPeterka FTuch FMcLeod FGreenway FZucker FBenson FKulich FCozens FSamuelsson DPower DByram DJohnson DClifton DGilbert DLuukkonen G
WSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Owen PowerBUF3428:330:501:5776
Bowen ByramBUF3426:290:471:3937
John CarlsonWSH2423:591:001:3027
Jakob ChychrunWSH2422:270:561:4333
Matt RoyWSH2120:290:591:5110
Tom WilsonWSH2419:380:491:3065
Tage ThompsonBUF2419:120:481:3763
Zach BensonBUF2118:580:541:3084
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2518:520:451:3046
Jiri KulichBUF2218:360:511:3084
Mattias SamuelssonBUF2918:360:381:5446
Nic DowdWSH2418:160:461:3027
Rasmus SandinWSH1817:551:001:4131
Ryan McLeodBUF2217:520:492:0945
Martin FehérváryWSH1917:500:561:3705
Connor McMichaelWSH2117:430:511:4361
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2017:210:521:2202
Alex TuchBUF2616:510:391:1343
JJ PeterkaBUF2216:310:451:3032
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH2216:060:441:1644
Jason ZuckerBUF2315:330:412:0744
Dylan StromeWSH1815:190:511:3261
Brandon DuhaimeWSH2514:510:361:4837
Jordan GreenwayBUF2214:510:412:0136
Ryan JohnsonBUF2214:450:401:2145
Connor CliftonBUF1614:320:551:4613
Lars EllerWSH2213:540:381:4442
Peyton KrebsBUF1713:300:482:1402
Dylan CozensBUF2012:150:371:1354
Taylor RaddyshWSH1611:440:441:3641
Dennis GilbertBUF1511:370:461:2623
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH1411:250:491:5124
Andrew MangiapaneWSH1610:410:401:2540
Beck MalenstynBUF1510:210:411:0212
Nicolas Aube-KubelBUF149:460:421:1112
Hendrix LapierreWSH117:300:411:0730