Mon, Dec 23, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Winnipeg Jets 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 61% of the time.
30%
9%
8%
53%
TOR winsWPG wins
Winnipeg Jets
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 25:13 | 0.00 | 57.2% | +20.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 24:05 | 0.00 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 23:22 | 0.00 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 5 | 19:57 | 1.40 | 57.9% | +35.2 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 4 | 18:42 | 0.37 | 62.2% | +48.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:10 | 0.00 | 58.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:02 | 0.02 | 69.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:33 | 0.15 | 84.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:19 | 0.49 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 16:52 | 0.38 | 62.3% | +37.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:47 | 0.01 | 18.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:09 | 0.03 | 14.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.00 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:55 | 0.01 | 63.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:41 | 0.12 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:09 | 0.03 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 9:46 | 0.32 | 42.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:14 | 0.00 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 23 | 2 | .920 | 2.67 | +0.7 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22:37 | 0.00 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 22:15 | 0.09 | 75.6% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:25 | 0.05 | 75.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21:23 | 0.27 | 41.0% | +15.1 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 21:15 | 0.57 | 42.3% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 0 | 20:14 | 0.00 | 57.0% | +2.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 19:33 | 0.11 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:19 | 0.16 | 52.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:48 | 0.04 | 27.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:35 | 0.06 | 24.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 15:04 | 0.05 | 36.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.13 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:58 | 0.01 | 30.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 12:32 | 0.18 | 96.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:00 | 0.29 | 80.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:27 | 0.01 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 10:09 | 0.55 | 46.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:55 | 0.08 | 46.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 26 | 22 | 4 | .846 | 2.54 | −1.5 | 57:49 |