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Ice Lab

Mon, Dec 23, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Winnipeg Jets 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Winnipeg Jets win this game 61% of the time.

TOR winsWPG wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against WPG's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Scheifele–Connor–VilardiNiederreiter–Lowry–AppletonNamestnikov–Ehlers–PerfettiIafallo–Barron–GustafssonNiederreiter–Scheifele–AppletonDeMelo–MorrisseyFleury–PionkMiller–HeinolaMiller–PionkDeMelo–HeinolaMiller–MorrisseyDeMelo–MillerFleury–Heinola
Tavares–Marner–Knies6:570.23–0.140:540.00–0.240:310.00–0.100:510.11–0.005:060.20–0.141:370.04–0.011:380.01–0.100:390.00–0.24
Pacioretty–Kampf–McMann5:590.06–0.350:500.01–0.044:330.07–0.021:140.00–0.030:560.00–0.34
Lorentz–Dewar–Holmberg1:200.12–0.611:070.07–0.002:120.18–0.002:200.11–0.610:560.33–0.001:130.00–0.000:310.00–0.000:490.08–0.00
Domi–Nylander–Robertson1:070.00–0.003:090.53–0.020:520.01–0.001:580.15–0.001:460.29–0.000:450.09–0.001:320.01–0.00
Tavares–Nylander–Marner0:300.10–0.011:400.03–0.182:480.13–0.23
Domi–McMann–Knies0:350.00–0.000:390.00–0.00
Pacioretty–Nylander–Kampf0:360.04–0.000:360.04–0.000:480.00–0.00
Pacioretty–Kampf–Robertson1:080.13–0.001:080.13–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–McCabe9:030.57–0.300:420.03–0.000:470.07–0.001:300.08–0.001:170.11–0.006:470.30–0.152:590.14–0.000:350.00–0.001:390.13–0.001:030.08–0.00
Rielly–Myers0:460.00–0.134:100.04–0.253:310.40–0.132:460.12–0.183:510.16–0.183:070.30–0.022:260.09–0.031:290.01–0.101:240.00–0.240:320.00–0.13
Timmins–Benoit4:470.03–0.352:460.01–0.021:320.03–0.002:190.08–0.033:580.03–0.011:300.01–0.001:400.00–0.340:320.00–0.00
Ekman-Larsson–Timmins1:050.01–0.001:020.01–0.00
Rielly–McCabe0:450.00–0.00
McCabe–Myers0:410.14–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndKampf FPacioretty FMcMann FMarner FKnies FTavares FRobertson FNylander FDomi FLorentz FDewar FHolmberg FBenoit DTimmins DMcCabe DEkman-Larsson DRielly DMyers DWoll GLowry FAppleton FNiederreiter FScheifele FConnor FVilardi FNamestnikov FPerfetti FEhlers FIafallo FGustafsson FBarron FPionk DFleury DDeMelo DMorrissey DMiller DHeinola DHellebuyck G
TORWPGFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Josh MorrisseyWPG2825:130:541:5734
Neal PionkWPG2924:050:501:2605
Dylan DeMeloWPG2823:220:502:0116
Morgan RiellyTOR2622:370:523:0171
William NylanderTOR2322:150:584:5560
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR2621:250:491:5221
Mitch MarnerTOR2421:230:532:1172
John TavaresTOR2121:151:012:5571
Jake McCabeTOR2820:140:431:4013
Mark ScheifeleWPG2319:570:521:3741
Matthew KniesTOR2219:330:532:1152
Kyle ConnorWPG2318:420:491:3751
Philippe MyersTOR2618:190:421:1631
Colin MillerWPG2118:100:521:4300
Mason AppletonWPG2218:020:492:1305
Adam LowryWPG2417:330:441:3407
Nino NiederreiterWPG2017:190:522:0404
Gabriel VilardiWPG2116:520:481:4341
Conor TimminsTOR2716:480:371:1033
Bobby McMannTOR2316:350:432:0142
Max PaciorettyTOR2115:040:431:3832
David KampfTOR2114:480:421:3133
Haydn FleuryWPG1814:470:491:0904
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG2214:090:391:1421
Simon BenoitTOR2213:580:381:0121
Nikolaj EhlersWPG1712:550:461:0831
Ville HeinolaWPG1912:550:411:0800
Max DomiTOR2112:320:360:5920
Nick RobertsonTOR1812:000:401:4320
Cole PerfettiWPG1811:410:391:0812
Steven LorentzTOR1610:270:391:2100
Connor DewarTOR1710:090:361:0401
Morgan BarronWPG1610:090:381:4904
Pontus HolmbergTOR159:550:401:2301
Alex IafalloWPG149:460:421:1103
David GustafssonWPG159:140:371:1803